Football · Bulgaria Second League · 13/09, 16:00
Prediction: Marek Dupnitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
Team pages: Marek Dupnitsa · Pirin Blagoevgrad
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Marek Dupnitsa1.89
Pirin Blagoevgrad0.79
1X2
Marek Dupnitsa
Draw
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Marek Dupnitsa
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Marek Dupnitsa
2–2–2
Pirin Blagoevgrad
(6 last)
- Pirin Blagoevgrad0-0Marek Dupnitsa
- Marek Dupnitsa3-1Pirin Blagoevgrad
- Marek Dupnitsa0-1Pirin Blagoevgrad
- Pirin Blagoevgrad1-3Marek Dupnitsa
- Pirin Blagoevgrad1-1Marek Dupnitsa
- Marek Dupnitsa0-3Pirin Blagoevgrad
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marek Dupnitsa (rating 1490 vs 1380).
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Marek Dupnitsa | Pirin Blagoevgrad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.7 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.8 | 1 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.6 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marek Dupnitsa 2–2–2 Pirin Blagoevgrad
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Bulgaria Second League | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Marek Dupnitsa |
| 02/11/25 Bulgaria Second League | Marek Dupnitsa | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Pirin Blagoevgrad |
| 22/03/25 Bulgaria Second League | Marek Dupnitsa | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Pirin Blagoevgrad |
| 29/01/25 Club Friendly List | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Marek Dupnitsa |
| 07/09/24 Bulgaria Second League | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Marek Dupnitsa |
| 31/01/24 Club Friendly List | Marek Dupnitsa | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Pirin Blagoevgrad |
Standings · Bulgaria Second League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vihren Sandanski | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Yantra Gabrovo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | FK Fratria | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 14 |
| 5 | CSKA Sofia II | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Nesebar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 13 |
| 7 | Chernomorets Burgas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Beroe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Montana | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 11 |
| 10 | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 11 |
| 12 | Spartak Pleven | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 10 |
| 13 | Marek Dupnitsa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | Rilski Sportist | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 8 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 17 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 6 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Marek Dupnitsa | Pirin Blagoevgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Yantra Gabrovo | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Nesebar | 1-0 W | 0-7 L |
| Sportist Svoge | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 4-2 W | 1-5 L |
| FK Fratria | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Marek Dupnitsa (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marek Dupnitsa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 02/09 | Nesebar Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 29/08 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 16/08 | Montana Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/08 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 01/08 | Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Pirin Blagoevgrad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/09 | Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/08 | Nesebar Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 0-7 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 28/07 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | FC Sevlievo Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marek Dupnitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Marek Dupnitsa win (62%). Probabilities: Marek Dupnitsa 62%, draw 24%, Pirin Blagoevgrad 14%.
How many goals are expected in Marek Dupnitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Marek Dupnitsa 1.89 · Pirin Blagoevgrad 0.79), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Marek Dupnitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.