Football · Bulgaria Second League · 12/09, 17:00

Prediction: FC Hebar Pazardzhik vs Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Team pages: FC Hebar Pazardzhik · Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

FC Hebar Pazardzhik1.72

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo1.27

1X2

47% 25% 28%

FC Hebar Pazardzhik Draw Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Hebar Pazardzhik 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLWWDD

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDLDLW

Head-to-head

FC Hebar Pazardzhik 5–1–0 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo (6 last)

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo0-1FC Hebar Pazardzhik
FC Hebar Pazardzhik2-0Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
FC Hebar Pazardzhik3-1Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
FC Hebar Pazardzhik3-0Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo2-5FC Hebar Pazardzhik
FC Hebar Pazardzhik1-1Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Hebar Pazardzhik 1477 · Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 1510

	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	Draw	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Our model	47%	26%	27%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Hebar Pazardzhik: 5-1-0.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.6 / 6.4	2.6 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.60

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:09 +18’	1.91	3.60	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Hebar Pazardzhik 5–1–0 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Bulgaria Second League	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Hebar Pazardzhik
08/11/25 Bulgaria Second League	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	2-0 HT 2-0	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
25/05/24 Bulgaria First League	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	3-1 HT 0-1	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
06/04/24 Bulgaria First League	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	3-0 HT 1-0	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
08/10/23 Bulgaria First League	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2-5 HT 2-2	FC Hebar Pazardzhik
12/12/21 Bulgaria B PFG	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	1-1 HT 1-0	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Yantra Gabrovo	8	5	1	2	12	7	16
2	Vihren Sandanski	7	4	3	0	15	7	15
3	FK Fratria	7	4	2	1	9	4	14
4	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	8	4	2	2	14	11	14
5	CSKA Sofia II	8	4	2	2	15	8	14
6	Nesebar	8	4	1	3	15	11	13
7	Beroe	8	3	3	2	11	8	12
8	Montana	7	3	2	2	12	8	11
9	Chernomorets Burgas	7	3	2	2	7	4	11
10	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	7	3	1	3	7	9	10
10	Marek Dupnitsa	8	3	1	4	7	9	10
12	Rilski Sportist	8	2	3	3	8	9	9
13	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	7	2	2	3	12	13	8
14	Ludogorets Razgrad II	7	2	2	3	5	8	8
15	Spartak Pleven	7	2	1	4	7	14	7
16	Sportist Svoge	7	1	3	3	4	6	6
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	8	1	3	4	9	12	6
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	7	0	0	7	3	24	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Ludogorets Razgrad II	1-1 D	1-0 W
CSKA Sofia II	3-4 L	1-0 W
Vihren Sandanski	2-3 L	1-4 L
Beroe	1-2 L	2-2 D
Marek Dupnitsa	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Hebar Pazardzhik

WDLLLLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/09	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
29/08	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
23/08	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	11	5	W
18/08	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	1-1	3-2	8	4	W
11/08	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	2-0	3-4	2	5	L
02/08	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-1	2-3	7	6	L
24/07	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
23/05	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
15/05	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
10/05	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	5	7	W

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

WLWWWDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
03/09	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-2	1-4	4	6	L
29/08	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	1-2	2-2	7	8	D
21/08	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-2	12	3	L
15/08	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
07/08	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	3	9	W
03/08	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-1	2-1	8	6	W
25/07	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	3-1	5-1	9	5	W
23/05	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
15/05	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Hebar Pazardzhik vs Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Hebar Pazardzhik win (47%). Probabilities: FC Hebar Pazardzhik 47%, draw 25%, Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 28%.

How many goals are expected in FC Hebar Pazardzhik vs Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo?

The model expects 2.99 goals (FC Hebar Pazardzhik 1.72 · Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 1.27), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Hebar Pazardzhik vs Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.