Football · Bulgaria Second League · 21/09, 18:00
Prediction: Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets Razgrad II
Team pages: Spartak Pleven · Ludogorets Razgrad II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Spartak Pleven1.37
Ludogorets Razgrad II1.22
1X2
Spartak Pleven
Draw
Ludogorets Razgrad II
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Spartak Pleven
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Ludogorets Razgrad II
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spartak Pleven
3–1–2
Ludogorets Razgrad II
(6 last)
- Ludogorets Razgrad II3-1Spartak Pleven
- Spartak Pleven2-0Ludogorets Razgrad II
- Spartak Pleven2-0Ludogorets Razgrad II
- Ludogorets Razgrad II3-2Spartak Pleven
- Spartak Pleven1-1Ludogorets Razgrad II
- Ludogorets Razgrad II0-2Spartak Pleven
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spartak Pleven 1466 · Ludogorets Razgrad II 1492
| Spartak Pleven | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Spartak Pleven: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spartak Pleven | Ludogorets Razgrad II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.2 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4 | 2.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 6.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartak Pleven 3–1–2 Ludogorets Razgrad II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Bulgaria Second League | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Spartak Pleven |
| 24/11/25 Bulgaria Second League | Spartak Pleven | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Ludogorets Razgrad II |
| 29/03/25 Bulgaria Second League | Spartak Pleven | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ludogorets Razgrad II |
| 14/09/24 Bulgaria Second League | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Spartak Pleven |
| 31/03/24 Bulgaria Second League | Spartak Pleven | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Ludogorets Razgrad II |
| 17/09/23 Bulgaria Second League | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Spartak Pleven |
Standings · Bulgaria Second League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vihren Sandanski | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | FK Fratria | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Yantra Gabrovo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 16 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Burgas | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Beroe | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 15 |
| 7 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | Nesebar | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 14 |
| 9 | Marek Dupnitsa | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| 10 | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 12 |
| 12 | Rilski Sportist | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 11 |
| 14 | Montana | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 11 |
| 15 | Spartak Pleven | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 10 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 17 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 30 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Spartak Pleven | Ludogorets Razgrad II |
|---|---|---|
| Chernomorets Burgas | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| CSKA Sofia II | 1-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Vihren Sandanski | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Beroe | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Rilski Sportist | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Ludogorets Razgrad II (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spartak Pleven
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 07/09 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 03/09 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
1-2 | 1-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | Beroe Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Ludogorets Razgrad II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 9 | D |
| 07/09 | Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 02/09 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/08 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 18/08 | Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 12 | L |
| 10/08 | Beroe Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/07 | Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets Razgrad II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartak Pleven win (40%). Probabilities: Spartak Pleven 40%, draw 28%, Ludogorets Razgrad II 32%.
How many goals are expected in Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets Razgrad II?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Spartak Pleven 1.37 · Ludogorets Razgrad II 1.22), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets Razgrad II?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.