Football · Bulgaria Second League · 21/09, 16:00
Prediction: Sportist Svoge vs Vihren Sandanski
Team pages: Sportist Svoge · Vihren Sandanski
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Sportist Svoge0.82
Vihren Sandanski1.45
1X2
Sportist Svoge
Draw
Vihren Sandanski
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sportist Svoge
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Vihren Sandanski
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportist Svoge
3–1
Vihren Sandanski
(4 last)
- Vihren Sandanski4-1Sportist Svoge
- Sportist Svoge2-1Vihren Sandanski
- Vihren Sandanski0-2Sportist Svoge
- Sportist Svoge2-0Vihren Sandanski
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportist Svoge 1464 · Vihren Sandanski 1595
| Sportist Svoge | Draw | Vihren Sandanski | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 29% | 51% |
| Market | 21% | 26% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vihren Sandanski (rating 1464 vs 1595).
- H2H favours Sportist Svoge: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportist Svoge | Vihren Sandanski | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 2.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 3.9 | 3.3 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 5.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportist Svoge 3–0–1 Vihren Sandanski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/26 Bulgaria Second League | Vihren Sandanski | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Sportist Svoge |
| 18/10/25 Bulgaria Second League | Sportist Svoge | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Vihren Sandanski |
| 06/11/19 Bulgaria Third League | Vihren Sandanski | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Sportist Svoge |
| 20/03/19 Bulgaria Third League | Sportist Svoge | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Vihren Sandanski |
Standings · Bulgaria Second League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vihren Sandanski | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | FK Fratria | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Yantra Gabrovo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 16 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Burgas | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Beroe | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 15 |
| 7 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | Nesebar | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 14 |
| 9 | Marek Dupnitsa | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| 10 | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 12 |
| 12 | Rilski Sportist | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 11 |
| 14 | Montana | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 11 |
| 15 | Spartak Pleven | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 10 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 17 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 30 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportist Svoge | Vihren Sandanski |
|---|---|---|
| PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Montana | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Vihren Sandanski (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportist Svoge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Beroe Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 02/09 | Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Nesebar Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Montana Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Vihren Sandanski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/09 | Montana Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 03/09 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 18/08 | Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 12 | W |
| 09/08 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 28/07 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Minyor Pernik Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportist Svoge vs Vihren Sandanski?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vihren Sandanski win (51%). Probabilities: Sportist Svoge 21%, draw 28%, Vihren Sandanski 51%.
How many goals are expected in Sportist Svoge vs Vihren Sandanski?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Sportist Svoge 0.82 · Vihren Sandanski 1.45), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportist Svoge vs Vihren Sandanski?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.