Football · Bulgaria Second League · 20/09, 18:00
Prediction: Yantra Gabrovo vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Team pages: Yantra Gabrovo · Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Yantra Gabrovo1.83
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa0.74
1X2
Yantra Gabrovo
Draw
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Yantra Gabrovo
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yantra Gabrovo
1–2–3
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
(6 last)
- Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa2-2Yantra Gabrovo
- Yantra Gabrovo2-2Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
- Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa2-0Yantra Gabrovo
- Yantra Gabrovo0-2Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
- Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa0-1Yantra Gabrovo
- Yantra Gabrovo1-3Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yantra Gabrovo 1516 · Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 1498
| Yantra Gabrovo | Draw | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 24% | 14% |
| Market | 63% | 23% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yantra Gabrovo | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.6 | 1.9 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yantra Gabrovo 1–2–3 Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Bulgaria Second League | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Yantra Gabrovo |
| 18/10/25 Bulgaria Second League | Yantra Gabrovo | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa |
| 15/02/25 Bulgaria Second League | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Yantra Gabrovo |
| 04/08/24 Bulgaria Second League | Yantra Gabrovo | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa |
| 24/04/21 Bulgaria B PFG | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Yantra Gabrovo |
| 01/11/20 Bulgaria B PFG | Yantra Gabrovo | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa |
Standings · Bulgaria Second League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vihren Sandanski | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | FK Fratria | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Yantra Gabrovo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 16 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Burgas | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Beroe | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 15 |
| 7 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | Nesebar | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 14 |
| 9 | Marek Dupnitsa | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| 10 | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 12 |
| 12 | Rilski Sportist | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 11 |
| 14 | Montana | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 11 |
| 15 | Spartak Pleven | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 10 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 17 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 30 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yantra Gabrovo | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa |
|---|---|---|
| Nesebar | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Sportist Svoge | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Montana | 3-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Spartak Pleven | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yantra Gabrovo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 02/09 | Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Nesebar Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/08 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/08 | Montana Bulgaria Second League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/08 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Belasitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Nesebar Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 07/09 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 03/09 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Montana Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yantra Gabrovo vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yantra Gabrovo win (63%). Probabilities: Yantra Gabrovo 63%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 14%.
How many goals are expected in Yantra Gabrovo vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Yantra Gabrovo 1.83 · Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 0.74), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Yantra Gabrovo vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.