Football · Bulgaria Second League · 28/07, 17:30

Prediction: Vihren Sandanski vs CSKA Sofia II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.33Total

Vihren Sandanski1.42

CSKA Sofia II0.91

1X2

48% 28% 24%

Vihren Sandanski Draw CSKA Sofia II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Vihren Sandanski 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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CSKA Sofia II 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Vihren Sandanski 0–3–2 CSKA Sofia II (5 last)

Vihren Sandanski0-0CSKA Sofia II
CSKA Sofia II2-0Vihren Sandanski
CSKA Sofia II1-1Vihren Sandanski
Vihren Sandanski1-1CSKA Sofia II
CSKA Sofia II2-0Vihren Sandanski

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vihren Sandanski 1532 · CSKA Sofia II 1551

	Vihren Sandanski	Draw	CSKA Sofia II
Our model	48%	30%	23%
Market	49%	26%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CSKA Sofia II: 2-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vihren Sandanski	CSKA Sofia II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.8	1.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.1	1.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	4.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.40

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
14:02 +1’	1.83	3.40	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vihren Sandanski 0–3–2 CSKA Sofia II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/02/26 Bulgaria Second League	Vihren Sandanski	0-0 HT 0-0	CSKA Sofia II
10/08/25 Bulgaria Second League	CSKA Sofia II	2-0 HT 2-0	Vihren Sandanski
16/03/24 Bulgaria Third League	CSKA Sofia II	1-1 HT 0-1	Vihren Sandanski
02/09/23 Bulgaria Third League	Vihren Sandanski	1-1 HT 0-0	CSKA Sofia II
15/02/23 Bulgaria Third League	CSKA Sofia II	2-0 HT 1-0	Vihren Sandanski

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1	1	0	0	5	1	3
2	Spartak Pleven	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
3	Beroe	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
4	Marek Dupnitsa	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
5	Montana	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
6	Sportist Svoge	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
7	Chernomorets Burgas	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
8	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
9	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Pirin Blagoevgrad	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	CSKA Sofia II	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ludogorets Razgrad II	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Vihren Sandanski	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Rilski Sportist	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
16	FK Fratria	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
17	Yantra Gabrovo	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
18	Nesebar	1	0	0	1	1	5	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vihren Sandanski	CSKA Sofia II
Minyor Pernik	3-0 W	2-1 W
Yantra Gabrovo	0-0 D	0-1 L
FK Fratria	2-1 W	2-2 D
FC Sevlievo	4-0 W	6-1 W
Sportist Svoge	4-1 W	1-0 W
Marek Dupnitsa	0-1 L	0-1 L
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2-2 D	1-3 L
FC Hebar Pazardzhik	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Vihren Sandanski (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vihren Sandanski

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/05	Minyor Pernik Bulgaria Second League	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
11/05	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
04/05	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-1	2-1	9	2	W
25/04	FC Sevlievo Bulgaria Second League	2-0	4-0	9	6	W
16/04	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
10/04	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
04/04	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	2-0	2-2	8	4	D
28/03	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
21/03	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
15/03	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	7	4	W

CSKA Sofia II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
11/05	Minyor Pernik Bulgaria Second League	2-1	2-1	3	8	W
04/05	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
26/04	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	2-2	2-2	1	6	D
22/04	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
17/04	FC Sevlievo Bulgaria Second League	1-1	6-1	10	6	W
10/04	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
05/04	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-1	1	7	L
29/03	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	1-2	1-3	1	6	L
25/03	Dunav Ruse Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vihren Sandanski vs CSKA Sofia II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vihren Sandanski win (48%). Probabilities: Vihren Sandanski 48%, draw 28%, CSKA Sofia II 24%.

How many goals are expected in Vihren Sandanski vs CSKA Sofia II?

The model expects 2.33 goals (Vihren Sandanski 1.42 · CSKA Sofia II 0.91), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vihren Sandanski vs CSKA Sofia II?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.