Football · Bulgaria Second League · 01/08, 17:00
Prediction: Spartak Pleven vs Marek Dupnitsa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.79Total
Spartak Pleven1.01
Marek Dupnitsa0.78
1X2
Spartak Pleven
Draw
Marek Dupnitsa
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Spartak Pleven
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Marek Dupnitsa
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spartak Pleven
2–2–2
Marek Dupnitsa
(6 last)
- Marek Dupnitsa0-0Spartak Pleven
- Spartak Pleven2-0Marek Dupnitsa
- Spartak Pleven2-0Marek Dupnitsa
- Marek Dupnitsa3-0Spartak Pleven
- Spartak Pleven0-0Marek Dupnitsa
- Marek Dupnitsa4-1Spartak Pleven
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spartak Pleven 1498 · Marek Dupnitsa 1535
| Spartak Pleven | Draw | Marek Dupnitsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 35% | 26% |
| Market | 41% | 31% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.79 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spartak Pleven | Marek Dupnitsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.6 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 3.2 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartak Pleven 2–2–2 Marek Dupnitsa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Bulgaria Second League | Marek Dupnitsa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Spartak Pleven |
| 20/09/25 Bulgaria Second League | Spartak Pleven | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Marek Dupnitsa |
| 11/05/25 Bulgaria Second League | Spartak Pleven | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Marek Dupnitsa |
| 16/11/24 Bulgaria Second League | Marek Dupnitsa | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Spartak Pleven |
| 06/04/24 Bulgaria Second League | Spartak Pleven | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Marek Dupnitsa |
| 22/09/23 Bulgaria Second League | Marek Dupnitsa | 4-1 HT 0-0 | Spartak Pleven |
Standings · Bulgaria Second League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Spartak Pleven | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Beroe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Marek Dupnitsa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Montana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Sportist Svoge | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Chernomorets Burgas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | CSKA Sofia II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Vihren Sandanski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Rilski Sportist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | FK Fratria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Yantra Gabrovo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Nesebar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spartak Pleven
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 14/07 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/07 | Yantra Gabrovo Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | Cherno More Varna Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 01/07 | Botev Vratsa Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/06 | Botev Plovdiv Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League |
4-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Minyor Pernik Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 24/04 | Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
Marek Dupnitsa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/07 | CSKA Sofia Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Septemvri Sofia Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Belasitsa Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 17/04 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 10/04 | Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spartak Pleven vs Marek Dupnitsa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartak Pleven win (40%). Probabilities: Spartak Pleven 40%, draw 33%, Marek Dupnitsa 27%.
How many goals are expected in Spartak Pleven vs Marek Dupnitsa?
The model expects 1.79 goals (Spartak Pleven 1.01 · Marek Dupnitsa 0.78), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Spartak Pleven vs Marek Dupnitsa?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.