Football · Bulgaria Second League · 03/08, 19:00
Prediction: Pirin Blagoevgrad vs CSKA Sofia II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Pirin Blagoevgrad1.36
CSKA Sofia II0.89
1X2
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Draw
CSKA Sofia II
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Pirin Blagoevgrad
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
CSKA Sofia II
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pirin Blagoevgrad
2–2
CSKA Sofia II
(4 last)
- CSKA Sofia II2-1Pirin Blagoevgrad
- Pirin Blagoevgrad2-1CSKA Sofia II
- Pirin Blagoevgrad1-4CSKA Sofia II
- CSKA Sofia II0-1Pirin Blagoevgrad
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pirin Blagoevgrad 1461 · CSKA Sofia II 1550
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | Draw | CSKA Sofia II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 30% | 23% |
| Market | 48% | 28% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSKA Sofia II (rating 1461 vs 1550).
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | CSKA Sofia II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.1 | 1.7 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pirin Blagoevgrad 2–0–2 CSKA Sofia II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 Bulgaria Second League | CSKA Sofia II | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Pirin Blagoevgrad |
| 29/08/25 Bulgaria Second League | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 2-1 HT 1-1 | CSKA Sofia II |
| 01/03/25 Bulgaria Second League | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 1-4 HT 1-3 | CSKA Sofia II |
| 18/08/24 Bulgaria Second League | CSKA Sofia II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Pirin Blagoevgrad |
Standings · Bulgaria Second League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Spartak Pleven | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Beroe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Marek Dupnitsa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Montana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Sportist Svoge | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Chernomorets Burgas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | CSKA Sofia II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Vihren Sandanski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Rilski Sportist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | FK Fratria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Yantra Gabrovo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Nesebar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pirin Blagoevgrad | CSKA Sofia II |
|---|---|---|
| FK Fratria | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| FC Sevlievo | 4-1 W | 6-1 W |
| Sportist Svoge | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Marek Dupnitsa | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Dunav Ruse | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: CSKA Sofia II (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pirin Blagoevgrad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | FC Sevlievo Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/04 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/04 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 29/03 | Belasitsa Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
CSKA Sofia II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/05 | Minyor Pernik Bulgaria Second League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 04/05 | Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 22/04 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 17/04 | FC Sevlievo Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 6-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 10/04 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 29/03 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 25/03 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs CSKA Sofia II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pirin Blagoevgrad win (47%). Probabilities: Pirin Blagoevgrad 47%, draw 29%, CSKA Sofia II 24%.
How many goals are expected in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs CSKA Sofia II?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Pirin Blagoevgrad 1.36 · CSKA Sofia II 0.89), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs CSKA Sofia II?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.