Football · Bulgaria Second League · 03/08, 17:45

Prediction: Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vs Yantra Gabrovo

Team pages: Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo · Yantra Gabrovo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo1.59

Yantra Gabrovo1.28

1X2

43% 28% 29%

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Draw Yantra Gabrovo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWDLWLLLWW

Yantra Gabrovo 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLLWLL

Head-to-head

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 2–2–2 Yantra Gabrovo (6 last)

Yantra Gabrovo4-0Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo0-1Yantra Gabrovo
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo0-0Yantra Gabrovo
Yantra Gabrovo1-2Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo1-1Yantra Gabrovo
Yantra Gabrovo0-2Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 1516 · Yantra Gabrovo 1519

	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	Draw	Yantra Gabrovo
Our model	43%	27%	30%
Market	43%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	Yantra Gabrovo
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.2	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.4	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 5.7	2.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.20

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:18 +5’	2.10	3.20	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 2–2–2 Yantra Gabrovo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/02/26 Bulgaria Second League	Yantra Gabrovo	4-0 HT 2-0	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
19/08/25 Bulgaria Second League	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0-1 HT 0-1	Yantra Gabrovo
04/12/24 Bulgaria Second League	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0-0 HT 0-0	Yantra Gabrovo
23/07/24 Bulgaria Second League	Yantra Gabrovo	1-2 HT 1-1	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
22/06/24 Club Friendly List	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1-1 HT 0-0	Yantra Gabrovo
27/01/24 Club Friendly List	Yantra Gabrovo	0-2 HT 0-0	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1	1	0	0	5	1	3
2	Spartak Pleven	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
3	Beroe	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
4	Marek Dupnitsa	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
5	Montana	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
6	Sportist Svoge	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
7	Chernomorets Burgas	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
8	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
9	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Pirin Blagoevgrad	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	CSKA Sofia II	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ludogorets Razgrad II	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Vihren Sandanski	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Rilski Sportist	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
16	FK Fratria	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
17	Yantra Gabrovo	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
18	Nesebar	1	0	0	1	1	5	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	Yantra Gabrovo
Ludogorets Razgrad II	1-0 W	3-2 W
Belasitsa	4-2 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

WWDLWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	3-1	5-1	9	5	W
04/07	Botev Plovdiv Club Friendly List	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/06	Ludogorets Razgrad Club Friendly List	2-5	4-7	3	6	L
23/06	Levski Sofia Club Friendly List	0-5	0-6	1	1	L
23/05	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
15/05	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
10/05	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	6	7	L
03/05	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
25/04	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	2-1	3-2	8	2	W
17/04	Belasitsa Bulgaria Second League	2-0	4-2	7	2	W

Yantra Gabrovo

WWDWWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	7	6	L
07/07	Spartak Pleven Club Friendly List	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
04/07	Ludogorets Razgrad II Club Friendly List	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
24/06	Cherno More Varna Club Friendly List	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
28/05	Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League Play-Offs	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
23/05	Belasitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	3-1	4	3	W
15/05	Dunav Ruse Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
11/05	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
04/05	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
24/04	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	1-1	2-1	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vs Yantra Gabrovo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo win (43%). Probabilities: Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 43%, draw 28%, Yantra Gabrovo 29%.

How many goals are expected in Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vs Yantra Gabrovo?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 1.59 · Yantra Gabrovo 1.28), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vs Yantra Gabrovo?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.