Football · Bulgaria Second League · 03/08, 19:00

Prediction: Ludogorets Razgrad II vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

Team pages: Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Ludogorets Razgrad II1.75

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa1.05

1X2

52% 27% 21%

Ludogorets Razgrad II Draw Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Ludogorets Razgrad II 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWDWWLWL

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWLDLLLLWD

Head-to-head

Ludogorets Razgrad II 5–1 Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa (6 last)

Ludogorets Razgrad II3-1Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa0-1Ludogorets Razgrad II
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa2-1Ludogorets Razgrad II
Ludogorets Razgrad II2-0Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Ludogorets Razgrad II2-0Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Ludogorets Razgrad II4-0Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ludogorets Razgrad II 1529 · Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 1462

	Ludogorets Razgrad II	Draw	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Our model	53%	26%	22%
Market	52%	28%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ludogorets Razgrad II (rating 1529 vs 1462).
H2H favours Ludogorets Razgrad II: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ludogorets Razgrad II	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.4 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 4.7	2.2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.4	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.25

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.02

2 (+0.75)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:19 +4’	1.73	3.25	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ludogorets Razgrad II 5–0–1 Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/05/26 Bulgaria Second League	Ludogorets Razgrad II	3-1 HT 2-0	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
08/11/25 Bulgaria Second League	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	0-1 HT 0-0	Ludogorets Razgrad II
05/12/24 Bulgaria Second League	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	2-1 HT 1-1	Ludogorets Razgrad II
22/07/24 Bulgaria Second League	Ludogorets Razgrad II	2-0 HT 2-0	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
11/05/21 Bulgaria Second League	Ludogorets Razgrad II	2-0 HT 1-0	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
06/02/21 Europe Friendlies	Ludogorets Razgrad II	4-0 HT 1-0	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1	1	0	0	5	1	3
2	Spartak Pleven	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
3	Beroe	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
4	Marek Dupnitsa	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
5	Montana	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
6	Sportist Svoge	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
7	Chernomorets Burgas	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
8	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
9	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Pirin Blagoevgrad	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	CSKA Sofia II	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ludogorets Razgrad II	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Vihren Sandanski	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Rilski Sportist	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
16	FK Fratria	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
17	Yantra Gabrovo	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
18	Nesebar	1	0	0	1	1	5	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ludogorets Razgrad II	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Yantra Gabrovo	2-3 L	2-2 D
Spartak Pleven	3-1 W	2-5 L
Chernomorets Burgas	0-0 D	1-1 D
Minyor Pernik	4-2 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ludogorets Razgrad II (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Ludogorets Razgrad II

DLDWDWWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	Yantra Gabrovo Club Friendly List	1-0	2-3	–	–	L
23/05	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
15/05	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
11/05	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
04/05	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	2-0	2-1	3	4	W
16/04	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	0	6	D
10/04	Minyor Pernik Bulgaria Second League	3-1	4-2	2	6	W
04/04	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
28/03	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	1-2	1-3	14	3	L
21/03	Belasitsa Bulgaria Second League	1-1	1-1	9	9	D

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

WWLDLLLLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
20/06	Dunav Ruse Club Friendly List	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
23/05	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
15/05	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	1-4	2-5	–	–	L
11/05	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
25/04	Minyor Pernik Bulgaria Second League	0-2	0-3	6	7	L
17/04	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	2-2	2-2	3	5	D
09/04	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
04/04	FC Sevlievo Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
29/03	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	9	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ludogorets Razgrad II vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ludogorets Razgrad II win (52%). Probabilities: Ludogorets Razgrad II 52%, draw 27%, Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 21%.

How many goals are expected in Ludogorets Razgrad II vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Ludogorets Razgrad II 1.75 · Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 1.05), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ludogorets Razgrad II vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.