Football · Bulgaria Second League · 02/09, 18:00

Prediction: Yantra Gabrovo vs Pirin Blagoevgrad

Team pages: Yantra Gabrovo · Pirin Blagoevgrad

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Yantra Gabrovo2.41

Pirin Blagoevgrad0.68

1X2

76% 16% 8%

Yantra Gabrovo Draw Pirin Blagoevgrad

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Yantra Gabrovo 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLWWWD

Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

DLWLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Yantra Gabrovo 0–2–4 Pirin Blagoevgrad (6 last)

Pirin Blagoevgrad2-2Yantra Gabrovo
Yantra Gabrovo1-1Pirin Blagoevgrad
Pirin Blagoevgrad1-0Yantra Gabrovo
Yantra Gabrovo0-1Pirin Blagoevgrad
Yantra Gabrovo0-2Pirin Blagoevgrad
Pirin Blagoevgrad4-1Yantra Gabrovo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yantra Gabrovo 1520 · Pirin Blagoevgrad 1400

	Yantra Gabrovo	Draw	Pirin Blagoevgrad
Our model	75%	17%	8%
Market	76%	15%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yantra Gabrovo (rating 1520 vs 1400).
H2H favours Pirin Blagoevgrad: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yantra Gabrovo	Pirin Blagoevgrad
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.8	0.7 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.6	1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.18

X6.00

210.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.80

2 (+1.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:36 +3’	1.18	6.00	10.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yantra Gabrovo 0–2–4 Pirin Blagoevgrad

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/12/25 Bulgaria Second League	Pirin Blagoevgrad	2-2 HT 1-0	Yantra Gabrovo
25/07/25 Bulgaria Second League	Yantra Gabrovo	1-1 HT 1-0	Pirin Blagoevgrad
05/05/25 Bulgaria Second League	Pirin Blagoevgrad	1-0 HT 1-0	Yantra Gabrovo
04/11/24 Bulgaria Second League	Yantra Gabrovo	0-1 HT 0-0	Pirin Blagoevgrad
21/02/21 Bulgaria B PFG	Yantra Gabrovo	0-2 HT 0-1	Pirin Blagoevgrad
15/08/20 Bulgaria B PFG	Pirin Blagoevgrad	4-1 HT 1-1	Yantra Gabrovo

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Fratria	6	4	1	1	8	3	13
2	Vihren Sandanski	6	3	3	0	11	6	12
3	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
4	CSKA Sofia II	6	3	2	1	10	6	11
5	Yantra Gabrovo	6	3	1	2	7	7	10
6	Montana	6	3	1	2	12	8	10
7	Nesebar	6	3	1	2	13	9	10
8	Beroe	6	3	1	2	9	6	10
9	Chernomorets Burgas	6	2	2	2	6	4	8
10	Ludogorets Razgrad II	6	2	2	2	5	7	8
11	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	6	2	1	3	5	9	7
12	Spartak Pleven	6	2	1	3	6	9	7
13	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	6	2	1	3	11	12	7
14	Marek Dupnitsa	6	2	1	3	6	6	7
15	Rilski Sportist	6	1	3	2	5	6	6
16	Sportist Svoge	6	1	3	2	3	4	6
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	6	1	2	3	7	8	5
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	6	0	0	6	3	22	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yantra Gabrovo	Pirin Blagoevgrad
Nesebar	1-1 D	0-7 L
Sportist Svoge	1-0 W	0-1 L
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	1-0 W	1-5 L
CSKA Sofia II	1-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Yantra Gabrovo (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yantra Gabrovo

WDWWLLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
23/08	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
16/08	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
11/08	Montana Bulgaria Second League	2-2	3-2	6	5	W
03/08	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-2	4	6	L
25/07	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	7	6	L
23/05	Belasitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	3-1	4	3	W
15/05	Dunav Ruse Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
11/05	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
04/05	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	2	2	W

Pirin Blagoevgrad

DLWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
23/08	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	0-2	0-7	4	4	L
18/08	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	1-1	2-3	6	4	L
09/08	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
03/08	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-3	1	4	L
28/07	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	0-2	1-5	2	4	L
23/05	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-3	0-3	–	–	L
15/05	FC Sevlievo Bulgaria Second League	2-0	4-1	8	4	W
11/05	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
02/05	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	2	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yantra Gabrovo vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Yantra Gabrovo win (76%). Probabilities: Yantra Gabrovo 76%, draw 16%, Pirin Blagoevgrad 8%.

How many goals are expected in Yantra Gabrovo vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Yantra Gabrovo 2.41 · Pirin Blagoevgrad 0.68), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Yantra Gabrovo vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.