Football · Bulgaria Second League · 29/08, 19:00

Prediction: Ludogorets Razgrad II vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Team pages: Ludogorets Razgrad II · FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Ludogorets Razgrad II1.4

FC Hebar Pazardzhik1.31

1X2

38% 28% 34%

Ludogorets Razgrad II Draw FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Ludogorets Razgrad II 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWWLLD

FC Hebar Pazardzhik 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLLLWW

Head-to-head

Ludogorets Razgrad II 5–1 FC Hebar Pazardzhik (6 last)

FC Hebar Pazardzhik1-2Ludogorets Razgrad II
Ludogorets Razgrad II2-1FC Hebar Pazardzhik
FC Hebar Pazardzhik2-1Ludogorets Razgrad II
Ludogorets Razgrad II3-1FC Hebar Pazardzhik
FC Hebar Pazardzhik1-3Ludogorets Razgrad II
Ludogorets Razgrad II3-2FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ludogorets Razgrad II 1515 · FC Hebar Pazardzhik 1446

	Ludogorets Razgrad II	Draw	FC Hebar Pazardzhik
Our model	38%	28%	34%
Market	38%	28%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ludogorets Razgrad II (rating 1515 vs 1446).
H2H favours Ludogorets Razgrad II: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ludogorets Razgrad II	FC Hebar Pazardzhik
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 2.5	4.8 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0	4.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.25

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
22:33 +1’	2.35	3.25	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ludogorets Razgrad II 5–0–1 FC Hebar Pazardzhik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/05/26 Bulgaria Second League	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	1-2 HT 0-2	Ludogorets Razgrad II
12/12/25 Bulgaria Second League	Ludogorets Razgrad II	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Hebar Pazardzhik
08/05/22 Bulgaria Second League	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	2-1 HT 1-1	Ludogorets Razgrad II
08/11/21 Bulgaria B PFG	Ludogorets Razgrad II	3-1 HT 1-0	FC Hebar Pazardzhik
09/04/21 Bulgaria B PFG	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	1-3 HT 1-2	Ludogorets Razgrad II
03/10/20 Bulgaria B PFG	Ludogorets Razgrad II	3-2 HT 1-0	FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	5	3	2	0	10	5	11
2	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	5	3	1	1	10	5	10
3	FK Fratria	5	3	1	1	7	3	10
4	Nesebar	5	3	0	2	12	8	9
5	Vihren Sandanski	5	2	3	0	9	6	9
6	Beroe	5	3	0	2	7	4	9
7	Yantra Gabrovo	5	3	0	2	6	6	9
8	Ludogorets Razgrad II	5	2	1	2	4	6	7
9	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	5	2	1	2	5	6	7
10	Montana	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
11	Spartak Pleven	5	2	1	2	6	7	7
12	Marek Dupnitsa	5	2	0	3	6	6	6
13	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	5	2	0	3	10	11	6
14	Rilski Sportist	5	1	2	2	5	6	5
15	Chernomorets Burgas	5	1	2	2	3	4	5
15	Sportist Svoge	5	1	2	2	3	4	5
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	5	1	1	3	7	8	4
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	5	0	0	5	3	19	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ludogorets Razgrad II	FC Hebar Pazardzhik
CSKA Sofia II	1-1 D	3-4 L
Vihren Sandanski	0-2 L	2-3 L
Beroe	0-2 L	1-2 L
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0-1 L	1-0 W
Chernomorets Burgas	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Hebar Pazardzhik (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ludogorets Razgrad II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
18/08	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-2	2	12	L
10/08	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
03/08	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	2-1	2-1	2	4	W
28/07	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
23/05	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
15/05	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
11/05	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
04/05	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	2-0	2-1	3	4	W
16/04	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	0	6	D

FC Hebar Pazardzhik

LLWDLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	11	5	W
18/08	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	1-1	3-2	8	4	W
11/08	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	2-0	3-4	2	5	L
02/08	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-1	2-3	7	6	L
24/07	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
23/05	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
15/05	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
10/05	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
04/05	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-2	1-2	10	4	L
27/04	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	1-2	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ludogorets Razgrad II vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ludogorets Razgrad II win (38%). Probabilities: Ludogorets Razgrad II 38%, draw 28%, FC Hebar Pazardzhik 34%.

How many goals are expected in Ludogorets Razgrad II vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Ludogorets Razgrad II 1.4 · FC Hebar Pazardzhik 1.31), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ludogorets Razgrad II vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.