Football · Bulgaria Second League · 25/07, 17:30
Prediction: Sportist Svoge vs Montana
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Sportist Svoge1.06
Montana1.21
1X2
Sportist Svoge
Draw
Montana
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sportist Svoge
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Montana
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportist Svoge
0–3–3
Montana
(6 last)
- Sportist Svoge0-3Montana
- Montana1-0Sportist Svoge
- Montana2-0Sportist Svoge
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportist Svoge 1482 · Montana 1439
| Sportist Svoge | Draw | Montana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| Market | 31% | 30% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportist Svoge (rating 1482 vs 1439).
- H2H favours Montana: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportist Svoge | Montana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.3 | 1.8 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportist Svoge 0–3–3 Montana
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/25 Bulgaria Second League | Sportist Svoge | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Montana |
| 01/09/24 Bulgaria Second League | Montana | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sportist Svoge |
| 16/03/24 Bulgaria Second League | Montana | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Sportist Svoge |
| 03/09/23 Bulgaria Second League | Sportist Svoge | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Montana |
| 24/02/23 Bulgaria Second League | Montana | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sportist Svoge |
| 30/07/22 Bulgaria B PFG | Sportist Svoge | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Montana |
Standings · Bulgaria Second League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Burgas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Fratria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportist Svoge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Yantra Gabrovo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nesebar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CSKA Sofia II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Marek Dupnitsa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Beroe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vihren Sandanski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spartak Pleven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportist Svoge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/05 | Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Belasitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria Second League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 16/04 | Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/04 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 14 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 29/03 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/03 | FC Sevlievo Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
Montana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Slavia Sofia Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 2-7 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 18/05 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 05/05 | Beroe Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 16/04 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 08/04 | CSKA Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportist Svoge vs Montana?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Montana win (39%). Probabilities: Sportist Svoge 31%, draw 30%, Montana 39%.
How many goals are expected in Sportist Svoge vs Montana?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Sportist Svoge 1.06 · Montana 1.21), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportist Svoge vs Montana?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.