Football · Bulgaria Second League · 03/09, 16:00

Prediction: Vihren Sandanski vs Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Team pages: Vihren Sandanski · Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Vihren Sandanski2.14

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo1.28

1X2

56% 23% 21%

Vihren Sandanski Draw Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Vihren Sandanski 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWDWDW

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLWWWDLD

Head-to-head

Vihren Sandanski 0–2–0 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo (2 last)

Vihren Sandanski2-2Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo3-3Vihren Sandanski

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vihren Sandanski 1580 · Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 1505

	Vihren Sandanski	Draw	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Our model	56%	22%	21%
Market	56%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vihren Sandanski (rating 1580 vs 1505).
High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vihren Sandanski	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.7	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.1	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6.1	3.3 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.1	5.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.80

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:27 +17’	1.61	3.80	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vihren Sandanski 0–2–0 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Bulgaria Second League	Vihren Sandanski	2-2 HT 2-0	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
28/09/25 Bulgaria Second League	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	3-3 HT 2-1	Vihren Sandanski

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Fratria	6	4	1	1	8	3	13
2	Vihren Sandanski	6	3	3	0	11	6	12
3	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
4	CSKA Sofia II	6	3	2	1	10	6	11
5	Yantra Gabrovo	6	3	1	2	7	7	10
6	Montana	6	3	1	2	12	8	10
7	Nesebar	6	3	1	2	13	9	10
8	Beroe	6	3	1	2	9	6	10
9	Chernomorets Burgas	6	2	2	2	6	4	8
10	Ludogorets Razgrad II	6	2	2	2	5	7	8
11	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	6	2	1	3	5	9	7
12	Spartak Pleven	6	2	1	3	6	9	7
13	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	6	2	1	3	11	12	7
14	Marek Dupnitsa	6	2	1	3	6	6	7
15	Rilski Sportist	6	1	3	2	5	6	6
16	Sportist Svoge	6	1	3	2	3	4	6
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	6	1	2	3	7	8	5
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	6	0	0	6	3	22	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vihren Sandanski	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Ludogorets Razgrad II	2-0 W	1-0 W
Chernomorets Burgas	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Hebar Pazardzhik	3-2 W	0-1 L
Yantra Gabrovo	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Vihren Sandanski (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vihren Sandanski

WWDWDWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-0	2	3	W
24/08	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-2	7	5	D
18/08	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-0	6	12	W
09/08	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	9	4	D
02/08	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	1-0	3-2	1	6	W
28/07	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	10	5	D
15/05	Minyor Pernik Bulgaria Second League	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
11/05	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
04/05	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-1	2-1	9	2	W
25/04	FC Sevlievo Bulgaria Second League	2-0	4-0	9	6	W

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

DLWLWWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	1-2	2-2	7	8	D
21/08	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-2	12	3	L
15/08	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
07/08	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	3	9	W
03/08	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-1	2-1	8	6	W
25/07	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	3-1	5-1	9	5	W
23/05	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
15/05	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
10/05	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	6	7	L
03/05	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vihren Sandanski vs Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vihren Sandanski win (56%). Probabilities: Vihren Sandanski 56%, draw 23%, Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 21%.

How many goals are expected in Vihren Sandanski vs Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Vihren Sandanski 2.14 · Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 1.28), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Vihren Sandanski vs Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.