Football · Bulgaria Second League · 15/08, 18:00

Prediction: Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vs Rilski Sportist

Team pages: Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo · Rilski Sportist

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo1.82
Rilski Sportist0.92
1X2
58% 23% 19%
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Draw Rilski Sportist
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
DLWLLLWWWW
Rilski Sportist 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WWLLWLLLLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 1527 · Rilski Sportist 1459
Etar 1924 Veliko TarnovoDrawRilski Sportist
Our model57%25%18%
Market59%22%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo (rating 1527 vs 1459).
  • High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Etar 1924 Veliko TarnovoRilski Sportist
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.90.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.40.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.13.3 / 8.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.43.2 / 0

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 4310 9310
2 FK Fratria 4301 519
3 CSKA Sofia II 3210 847
4 Spartak Pleven 3210 637
5 Beroe 4202 446
6 Ludogorets Razgrad II 3201 336
7 Chernomorets Burgas 3120 325
8 Vihren Sandanski 3120 545
9 Sportist Svoge 3120 325
10 PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 3111 534
11 Montana 3111 764
12 Marek Dupnitsa 3102 233
13 Yantra Gabrovo 3102 463
14 Nesebar 3102 483
15 Rilski Sportist 4022 352
16 Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 3012 251
17 FC Hebar Pazardzhik 3003 690
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 3003 190

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

DLWLLLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgaria Second League
0-0 1-0 39 W
03/08 Yantra Gabrovo
Bulgaria Second League
0-1 2-1 86 W
25/07 Nesebar
Bulgaria Second League
3-1 5-1 95 W
04/07 Botev Plovdiv
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-1 W
26/06 Ludogorets Razgrad
Club Friendly List
2-5 4-7 36 L
23/06 Levski Sofia
Club Friendly List
0-5 0-6 11 L
23/05 Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgaria Second League
0-1 0-1 L
15/05 Ludogorets Razgrad II
Bulgaria Second League
0-0 1-0 63 W
10/05 FC Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgaria Second League
0-0 0-1 67 L
03/05 Chernomorets Burgas
Bulgaria Second League
0-1 1-1 D

Rilski Sportist

WWLLWLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Spartak Pleven
Bulgaria Second League
1-1 2-2 135 D
01/08 FK Fratria
Bulgaria Second League
0-1 0-1 110 L
28/07 Ludogorets Razgrad II
Bulgaria Second League
0-0 0-1 44 L
08/07 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-2 L
01/07 Arda Kardzhali
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-2 L
27/05 Pirin Gotse Delchev
Bulgaria Third League
0-0 2-1 W
23/05 Botev Ihtiman
Bulgaria Third League
0-1 1-2 L
16/05 PFC CSKA Sofia III
Bulgaria Third League
0-1 0-1 115 L
09/05 PFC Levski Sofia II
Bulgaria Third League
0-0 2-0 42 W
02/05 Septemvri Simitli
Bulgaria Third League
0-1 2-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vs Rilski Sportist?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo win (58%). Probabilities: Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 58%, draw 23%, Rilski Sportist 19%.

How many goals are expected in Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vs Rilski Sportist?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 1.82 · Rilski Sportist 0.92), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vs Rilski Sportist?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.