Football · Bulgaria Second League · 16/08, 19:00
Prediction: Montana vs Marek Dupnitsa
Team pages: Montana · Marek Dupnitsa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Montana1.85
Marek Dupnitsa1.01
1X2
Montana
Draw
Marek Dupnitsa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Montana
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Marek Dupnitsa
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Montana
2–3–1
Marek Dupnitsa
(6 last)
- Marek Dupnitsa1-4Montana
- Marek Dupnitsa2-1Montana
- Montana0-0Marek Dupnitsa
- Montana2-1Marek Dupnitsa
- Marek Dupnitsa0-0Montana
- Marek Dupnitsa1-1Montana
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Montana 1468 · Marek Dupnitsa 1490
| Montana | Draw | Marek Dupnitsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Market | 56% | 26% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Montana: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montana | Marek Dupnitsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.3 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.3 | 2.8 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Montana 2–3–1 Marek Dupnitsa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/25 Bulgaria Cup | Marek Dupnitsa | 1-4 HT 0-0 | Montana |
| 05/12/24 Bulgaria Second League | Marek Dupnitsa | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Montana |
| 20/07/24 Bulgaria Second League | Montana | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Marek Dupnitsa |
| 04/12/23 Bulgaria Second League | Montana | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Marek Dupnitsa |
| 23/07/23 Bulgaria Second League | Marek Dupnitsa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Montana |
| 22/09/22 Bulgaria Cup | Marek Dupnitsa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Montana |
Standings · Bulgaria Second League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | FK Fratria | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia II | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Spartak Pleven | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Beroe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Chernomorets Burgas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Vihren Sandanski | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Sportist Svoge | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Montana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Marek Dupnitsa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Yantra Gabrovo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Nesebar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Rilski Sportist | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/08 | Nesebar Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 11/07 | Slavia Sofia Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 2-7 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 18/05 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 05/05 | Beroe Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
Marek Dupnitsa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 01/08 | Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/07 | CSKA Sofia Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Septemvri Sofia Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Belasitsa Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montana vs Marek Dupnitsa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Montana win (56%). Probabilities: Montana 56%, draw 25%, Marek Dupnitsa 19%.
How many goals are expected in Montana vs Marek Dupnitsa?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Montana 1.85 · Marek Dupnitsa 1.01), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Montana vs Marek Dupnitsa?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.