Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 11/07, 17:00

Prediction: FC Real Sireti vs FC Politehnica Chisinau

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
FC Real Sireti1.44
FC Politehnica Chisinau1.32
1X2
39% 28% 33%
FC Real Sireti Draw FC Politehnica Chisinau
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Real Sireti 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLWLWWWDLL
FC Politehnica Chisinau 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWWLWWWDLD
Head-to-head
FC Real Sireti 0–1–2 FC Politehnica Chisinau (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Real Sireti 1468 · FC Politehnica Chisinau 1536
FC Real SiretiDrawFC Politehnica Chisinau
Our model39%28%33%
Market39%28%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Politehnica Chisinau (rating 1468 vs 1536).
  • H2H favours FC Politehnica Chisinau: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Real SiretiFC Politehnica Chisinau
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.81.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.80.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/38/38%43/29/29%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.60 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 02.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Real Sireti 012 FC Politehnica Chisinau

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/04/26
Moldova Divizia A
FC Politehnica Chisinau3-1
HT 2-1
FC Real Sireti
14/03/26
Moldova Divizia A
FC Real Sireti1-1
HT 0-0
FC Politehnica Chisinau
29/10/25
Moldova Cup
FC Politehnica Chisinau6-1
HT 2-1
FC Real Sireti

Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CS Petrocub 2200 716
2 Sheriff Tiraspol 2110 304
2 Zimbru Chisinau 2110 304
4 Dacia Buiucani 2101 423
5 FC Balti 2101 333
6 FC Politehnica Chisinau 2011 031
7 FC Milsami 2011 051
8 FC Real Sireti 2002 060

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Real SiretiFC Politehnica Chisinau
Sheriff Tiraspol 0-3 L 0-0 D
FC Floresti 0-0 D 1-1 D
Iskra Ribnita 1-0 W 2-0 W
FC Stauceni 4-3 W 5-1 W
CF Sparta Selemet 0-1 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Politehnica Chisinau (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Real Sireti

LLWLWWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Dacia Buiucani
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-2 0-3 63 L
28/06 Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-1 0-3 14 L
27/05 FC Floresti
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-0 0-0 53 D
20/05 Iskra Ribnita
Moldova Divizia A
1-0 1-0 35 W
16/05 Sporting Trestieni
Moldova Divizia A
4-1 5-2 134 W
09/05 FC Stauceni
Moldova Divizia A
4-3 W
05/05 Iskra Ribnita
Moldova Divizia A
0-0 0-3 48 L
02/05 FC Floresti
Moldova Divizia A
0-0 1-0 64 W
24/04 FC Politehnica Chisinau
Moldova Divizia A
1-2 1-3 74 L
18/04 CF Sparta Selemet
Moldova Divizia A
0-1 L

FC Politehnica Chisinau

DWWLWWWDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-0 0-0 13 D
27/06 FC Balti
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-2 0-3 L
09/05 FC Floresti
Moldova Divizia A
1-1 D
04/05 CF Sparta Selemet
Moldova Divizia A
0-0 2-0 43 W
01/05 Iskra Ribnita
Moldova Divizia A
2-0 2-0 53 W
24/04 FC Real Sireti
Moldova Divizia A
2-1 3-1 34 W
21/04 Zimbru Chisinau
Moldova Cup
0-2 0-5 11 L
17/04 FC Stauceni
Moldova Divizia A
2-1 5-1 43 W
11/04 FC Floresti
Moldova Divizia A
2-0 W
04/04 CF Sparta Selemet
Moldova Divizia A
1-1 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Real Sireti vs FC Politehnica Chisinau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Real Sireti win (39%). Probabilities: FC Real Sireti 39%, draw 28%, FC Politehnica Chisinau 33%.

How many goals are expected in FC Real Sireti vs FC Politehnica Chisinau?

The model expects 2.76 goals (FC Real Sireti 1.44 · FC Politehnica Chisinau 1.32), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Real Sireti vs FC Politehnica Chisinau?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.