Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 18/07, 17:00

Prediction: Dacia Buiucani vs FC Politehnica Chisinau

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Dacia Buiucani1.78
FC Politehnica Chisinau1.17
1X2
51% 24% 24%
Dacia Buiucani Draw FC Politehnica Chisinau
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dacia Buiucani 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLDLWW
FC Politehnica Chisinau 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWLWWWDLDW
Head-to-head
Dacia Buiucani 2–1 FC Politehnica Chisinau (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dacia Buiucani 1448 · FC Politehnica Chisinau 1540
Dacia BuiucaniDrawFC Politehnica Chisinau
Our model51%25%24%
Market52%23%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Politehnica Chisinau (rating 1448 vs 1540).
  • H2H favours Dacia Buiucani: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Dacia BuiucaniFC Politehnica Chisinau
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.51.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%38/38/25%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.60 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 02.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dacia Buiucani 201 FC Politehnica Chisinau

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/11/25
Moldova Divizia Nationala
FC Politehnica Chisinau2-1
HT 1-0
Dacia Buiucani
30/08/25
Moldova Divizia Nationala
Dacia Buiucani4-1
HT 2-0
FC Politehnica Chisinau
12/07/25
Moldova Divizia Nationala
FC Politehnica Chisinau2-3
HT 2-1
Dacia Buiucani

Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CS Petrocub 3210 827
2 Sheriff Tiraspol 3210 727
3 Dacia Buiucani 3201 526
4 Zimbru Chisinau 3111 544
5 FC Balti 3111 444
6 FC Politehnica Chisinau 3111 244
7 FC Milsami 3012 061
8 FC Real Sireti 3003 180

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDacia BuiucaniFC Politehnica Chisinau
FC Real Sireti 3-0 W 2-1 W
FC Balti 0-0 D 0-3 L
Sheriff Tiraspol 1-2 L 0-0 D
Zimbru Chisinau 0-3 L 0-5 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Dacia Buiucani (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dacia Buiucani

LLLLLLDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 FC Milsami
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-0 1-0 49 W
05/07 FC Real Sireti
Moldova Divizia Nationala
2-0 3-0 63 W
28/06 CS Petrocub
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-0 1-2 82 L
17/05 FC Balti
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-0 0-0 D
09/05 FC Milsami
Moldova Divizia Nationala
1-2 1-2 47 L
03/05 Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova Divizia Nationala
1-1 1-2 81 L
25/04 Zimbru Chisinau
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-1 0-3 11 L
21/04 Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova Cup
1-0 1-2 67 L
18/04 CS Petrocub
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-1 1-2 29 L
11/04 FC Balti
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-0 1-2 24 L

FC Politehnica Chisinau

WWLWWWDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 FC Real Sireti
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-0 2-1 W
04/07 Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-0 0-0 13 D
27/06 FC Balti
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-2 0-3 L
09/05 FC Floresti
Moldova Divizia A
1-1 D
04/05 CF Sparta Selemet
Moldova Divizia A
0-0 2-0 43 W
01/05 Iskra Ribnita
Moldova Divizia A
2-0 2-0 53 W
24/04 FC Real Sireti
Moldova Divizia A
2-1 3-1 34 W
21/04 Zimbru Chisinau
Moldova Cup
0-2 0-5 11 L
17/04 FC Stauceni
Moldova Divizia A
2-1 5-1 43 W
11/04 FC Floresti
Moldova Divizia A
2-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dacia Buiucani vs FC Politehnica Chisinau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dacia Buiucani win (51%). Probabilities: Dacia Buiucani 51%, draw 24%, FC Politehnica Chisinau 24%.

How many goals are expected in Dacia Buiucani vs FC Politehnica Chisinau?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Dacia Buiucani 1.78 · FC Politehnica Chisinau 1.17), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dacia Buiucani vs FC Politehnica Chisinau?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.