Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 19/07, 19:00
Prediction: CS Petrocub vs Sheriff Tiraspol
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.09Total
CS Petrocub1.09
Sheriff Tiraspol1.01
1X2
CS Petrocub
Draw
Sheriff Tiraspol
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CS Petrocub
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Sheriff Tiraspol
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CS Petrocub
3–3
Sheriff Tiraspol
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CS Petrocub 1541 · Sheriff Tiraspol 1599
| CS Petrocub | Draw | Sheriff Tiraspol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 33% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sheriff Tiraspol (rating 1541 vs 1599).
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CS Petrocub | Sheriff Tiraspol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.1 | 2.1 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Petrocub 3–0–3 Sheriff Tiraspol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 Moldova Cup | Sheriff Tiraspol | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CS Petrocub |
| 06/05/26 Moldova Cup | CS Petrocub | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sheriff Tiraspol |
| 26/04/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala | CS Petrocub | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sheriff Tiraspol |
| 14/03/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala | Sheriff Tiraspol | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CS Petrocub |
| 08/11/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | CS Petrocub | 4-2 HT 1-2 | Sheriff Tiraspol |
| 14/09/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | Sheriff Tiraspol | 2-0 HT 2-0 | CS Petrocub |
Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Petrocub | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Dacia Buiucani | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Zimbru Chisinau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | FC Balti | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | FC Politehnica Chisinau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | FC Milsami | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| 8 | FC Real Sireti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CS Petrocub | Sheriff Tiraspol |
|---|---|---|
| FC Milsami | 5-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Zimbru Chisinau | 1-1 D | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CS Petrocub
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | FK Egnatia UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-3 | 1-6 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 08/07 | FK Egnatia UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 04/07 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 13/05 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Sheriff Tiraspol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | NK Aluminij UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/07 | NK Aluminij UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 28/06 | FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | CS Petrocub Moldova Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 06/05 | CS Petrocub Moldova Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CS Petrocub vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Petrocub win (37%). Probabilities: CS Petrocub 37%, draw 30%, Sheriff Tiraspol 33%.
How many goals are expected in CS Petrocub vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
The model expects 2.09 goals (CS Petrocub 1.09 · Sheriff Tiraspol 1.01), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CS Petrocub vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.