Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 19/07, 19:00
Prediction: FC Milsami vs FC Balti
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
FC Milsami1.26
FC Balti1.03
1X2
FC Milsami
Draw
FC Balti
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Milsami
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
FC Balti
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Milsami
2–2–2
FC Balti
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Milsami 1426 · FC Balti 1491
| FC Milsami | Draw | FC Balti | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 31% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Balti (rating 1426 vs 1491).
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Milsami | FC Balti | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.3 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.6 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Milsami 2–2–2 FC Balti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Balti | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Milsami |
| 15/03/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Milsami | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Balti |
| 30/11/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Balti | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FC Milsami |
| 28/09/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Milsami | 2-1 HT 0-0 | FC Balti |
| 03/08/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Balti | 3-3 HT 3-0 | FC Milsami |
| 03/05/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Milsami | 5-0 HT 1-0 | FC Balti |
Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Petrocub | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Dacia Buiucani | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Zimbru Chisinau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | FC Balti | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | FC Politehnica Chisinau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | FC Milsami | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| 8 | FC Real Sireti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Milsami | FC Balti |
|---|---|---|
| Dacia Buiucani | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| CS Petrocub | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Zimbru Chisinau | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Sheriff Tiraspol | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Milsami
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Velez Mostar UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 12/07 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 09/07 | Velez Mostar UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-2 | 0-5 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
FC Balti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/04 | CS Petrocub Moldova Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Milsami vs FC Balti?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Milsami win (42%). Probabilities: FC Milsami 42%, draw 28%, FC Balti 30%.
How many goals are expected in FC Milsami vs FC Balti?
The model expects 2.29 goals (FC Milsami 1.26 · FC Balti 1.03), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Milsami vs FC Balti?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.