Prediction: Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.13Total
Sheriff Tiraspol1.12
Zimbru Chisinau1.01
1X2
38% 30% 32%
Sheriff Tiraspol Draw Zimbru Chisinau
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sheriff Tiraspol 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWLWWDWWDD
Zimbru Chisinau 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWLWDLDW
Head-to-head
Sheriff Tiraspol 2–1–3 Zimbru Chisinau (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sheriff Tiraspol 1539 · Zimbru Chisinau 1576
Sheriff TiraspolDrawZimbru Chisinau
Our model37%32%31%
Market39%28%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Zimbru Chisinau: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sheriff TiraspolZimbru Chisinau
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.31.9 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 5.12.8 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.14.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sheriff Tiraspol 213 Zimbru Chisinau

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/05/26
Moldova Cup
Zimbru Chisinau0-2
HT 0-1
Sheriff Tiraspol
10/05/26
Moldova Divizia Nationala
Sheriff Tiraspol1-0
HT 0-0
Zimbru Chisinau
05/04/26
Moldova Divizia Nationala
Zimbru Chisinau2-2
HT 1-1
Sheriff Tiraspol
23/11/25
Moldova Divizia Nationala
Sheriff Tiraspol0-1
HT 0-0
Zimbru Chisinau
21/09/25
Moldova Divizia Nationala
Zimbru Chisinau2-0
HT 1-0
Sheriff Tiraspol
27/07/25
Moldova Divizia Nationala
Sheriff Tiraspol2-3
HT 1-2
Zimbru Chisinau

Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CS Petrocub 2200 716
2 Sheriff Tiraspol 2110 304
2 Zimbru Chisinau 2110 304
4 Dacia Buiucani 2101 423
5 FC Balti 2101 333
6 FC Politehnica Chisinau 2011 031
7 FC Milsami 2011 051
8 FC Real Sireti 2002 060

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSheriff TiraspolZimbru Chisinau
FC Politehnica Chisinau 0-0 D 5-0 W
FC Milsami 0-0 D 0-0 D
CS Petrocub 2-0 W 1-1 D
Dacia Buiucani 2-1 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Zimbru Chisinau (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sheriff Tiraspol

LWLWWDWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/07 NK Aluminij
UEFA Europa League Qualifying
0-0 0-0 73 D
04/07 FC Politehnica Chisinau
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-0 0-0 93 D
28/06 FC Real Sireti
Moldova Divizia Nationala
1-0 3-0 44 W
23/05 Zimbru Chisinau
Moldova Cup
1-0 2-0 16 W
17/05 FC Milsami
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-0 0-0 66 D
13/05 CS Petrocub
Moldova Cup
1-0 2-0 63 W
10/05 Zimbru Chisinau
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-0 1-0 27 W
06/05 CS Petrocub
Moldova Cup
0-1 0-1 46 L
03/05 Dacia Buiucani
Moldova Divizia Nationala
1-1 2-1 51 W
26/04 CS Petrocub
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-1 0-1 74 L

Zimbru Chisinau

WWWWLWDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 FC Balti
Moldova Divizia Nationala
1-0 3-0 36 W
27/06 FC Milsami
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-0 0-0 26 D
23/05 Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova Cup
0-1 0-2 116 L
17/05 CS Petrocub
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-1 1-1 99 D
13/05 FC Milsami
Moldova Cup
0-0 1-0 44 W
10/05 Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-0 0-1 47 L
06/05 FC Milsami
Moldova Cup
1-0 2-0 70 W
02/05 FC Balti
Moldova Divizia Nationala
2-1 4-1 11 W
25/04 Dacia Buiucani
Moldova Divizia Nationala
1-0 3-0 51 W
21/04 FC Politehnica Chisinau
Moldova Cup
2-0 5-0 31 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sheriff Tiraspol win (38%). Probabilities: Sheriff Tiraspol 38%, draw 30%, Zimbru Chisinau 32%.

How many goals are expected in Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau?

The model expects 2.13 goals (Sheriff Tiraspol 1.12 · Zimbru Chisinau 1.01), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.