Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 12/07, 19:00
Prediction: FC Milsami vs Dacia Buiucani
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
FC Milsami1.44
Dacia Buiucani1.08
1X2
FC Milsami
Draw
Dacia Buiucani
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Milsami
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Dacia Buiucani
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Milsami
5–1–0
Dacia Buiucani
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Milsami 1491 · Dacia Buiucani 1394
| FC Milsami | Draw | Dacia Buiucani | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| Market | 46% | 25% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Milsami (rating 1491 vs 1394).
- H2H favours FC Milsami: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Milsami | Dacia Buiucani | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.3 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.7 | 2.3 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 4.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Milsami 5–1–0 Dacia Buiucani
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala | Dacia Buiucani | 1-2 HT 1-2 | FC Milsami |
| 04/04/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Milsami | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Dacia Buiucani |
| 08/11/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | Dacia Buiucani | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FC Milsami |
| 13/09/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Milsami | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Dacia Buiucani |
| 19/07/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | Dacia Buiucani | 1-2 HT 0-0 | FC Milsami |
| 09/11/24 Moldova Divizia Nationala | Dacia Buiucani | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Milsami |
Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Petrocub | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | Zimbru Chisinau | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Dacia Buiucani | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Balti | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Politehnica Chisinau | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 7 | FC Milsami | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| 8 | FC Real Sireti | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Milsami | Dacia Buiucani |
|---|---|---|
| CS Petrocub | 0-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Zimbru Chisinau | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Sheriff Tiraspol | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| FC Balti | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Milsami
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Velez Mostar UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-2 | 0-5 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/04 | CF Sparta Selemet Moldova Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Dacia Buiucani
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 21/04 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 11/04 | FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Milsami vs Dacia Buiucani?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Milsami win (45%). Probabilities: FC Milsami 45%, draw 27%, Dacia Buiucani 28%.
How many goals are expected in FC Milsami vs Dacia Buiucani?
The model expects 2.52 goals (FC Milsami 1.44 · Dacia Buiucani 1.08), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Milsami vs Dacia Buiucani?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.