Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 18/07, 19:00

Prediction: Zimbru Chisinau vs FC Real Sireti

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.45Total
Zimbru Chisinau2.55
FC Real Sireti0.9
1X2
72% 18% 10%
Zimbru Chisinau Draw FC Real Sireti
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Zimbru Chisinau 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLWDLDWL
FC Real Sireti 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWLWWWDLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zimbru Chisinau 1542 · FC Real Sireti 1472
Zimbru ChisinauDrawFC Real Sireti
Our model72%17%10%
Market72%18%10%
Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zimbru Chisinau (rating 1542 vs 1472).
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Zimbru ChisinauFC Real Sireti
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 0.91.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%22/44/33%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.43 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 04.4 / 0

Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CS Petrocub 3210 827
2 Sheriff Tiraspol 3210 727
3 Dacia Buiucani 3201 526
4 Zimbru Chisinau 3111 544
5 FC Balti 3111 444
6 FC Politehnica Chisinau 3111 244
7 FC Milsami 3012 061
8 FC Real Sireti 3003 180

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentZimbru ChisinauFC Real Sireti
Sheriff Tiraspol 2-4 L 0-3 L
Dacia Buiucani 3-0 W 0-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Zimbru Chisinau (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zimbru Chisinau

WWWLWDLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova Divizia Nationala
1-2 2-4 83 L
05/07 FC Balti
Moldova Divizia Nationala
1-0 3-0 36 W
27/06 FC Milsami
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-0 0-0 26 D
23/05 Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova Cup
0-1 0-2 116 L
17/05 CS Petrocub
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-1 1-1 99 D
13/05 FC Milsami
Moldova Cup
0-0 1-0 44 W
10/05 Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-0 0-1 47 L
06/05 FC Milsami
Moldova Cup
1-0 2-0 70 W
02/05 FC Balti
Moldova Divizia Nationala
2-1 4-1 11 W
25/04 Dacia Buiucani
Moldova Divizia Nationala
1-0 3-0 51 W

FC Real Sireti

LWLWWWDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 FC Politehnica Chisinau
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-0 1-2 L
05/07 Dacia Buiucani
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-2 0-3 63 L
28/06 Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-1 0-3 14 L
27/05 FC Floresti
Moldova Divizia Nationala
0-0 0-0 53 D
20/05 Iskra Ribnita
Moldova Divizia A
1-0 1-0 35 W
16/05 Sporting Trestieni
Moldova Divizia A
4-1 5-2 134 W
09/05 FC Stauceni
Moldova Divizia A
4-3 W
05/05 Iskra Ribnita
Moldova Divizia A
0-0 0-3 48 L
02/05 FC Floresti
Moldova Divizia A
0-0 1-0 64 W
24/04 FC Politehnica Chisinau
Moldova Divizia A
1-2 1-3 74 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zimbru Chisinau vs FC Real Sireti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zimbru Chisinau win (72%). Probabilities: Zimbru Chisinau 72%, draw 18%, FC Real Sireti 10%.

How many goals are expected in Zimbru Chisinau vs FC Real Sireti?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Zimbru Chisinau 2.55 · FC Real Sireti 0.9), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Zimbru Chisinau vs FC Real Sireti?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.