Prediction: Newell's Old Boys (W) vs Belgrano (W)
Expected goals: 1.52 (Newell's Old Boys (W) 0.46 · Belgrano (W) 1.06). The model gives 17% home, 32% draw, 51% away. Under 2 goals (59%) and not both to score (58%). Most likely score: 0-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Newell's Old Boys (W) sits at 1-1-8 (W-D-L), while Belgrano (W) arrives on a 3-4-3 run. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Newell's Old Boys (W) won 2 and Belgrano (W) 1, with 2 draws.
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | Draw | Belgrano (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 36% | 49% |
| Market | 18% | 29% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belgrano (W) (rating 1406 vs 1497).
- H2H favours Newell's Old Boys (W): 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | Belgrano (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.3 / 1.8 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.4 | 2.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Newell's Old Boys (W) 2–2–1 Belgrano (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/25 Argentina Trophy of Champions Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Belgrano (W) |
| 10/08/25 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Belgrano (W) |
| 23/05/25 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Belgrano (W) |
| 12/10/24 Argentina Championship Women | Belgrano (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
| 24/05/24 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Belgrano (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Club (W) | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo (W) | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 26 |
| 3 | River Plate (W) | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 20 |
| 5 | Banfield (W) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 19 | 16 |
| 7 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 8 | Boca Juniors (W) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 14 |
| 10 | San Luis FC (W) | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| 11 | Belgrano (W) | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| 12 | Huracan (W) | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Lanus (W) | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 10 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 5 |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Newell's Old Boys (W) | Belgrano (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Club (W) | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 0-5 L | 0-0 D |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 0-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Boca Juniors (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Lanus (W) | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Belgrano (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Newell's Old Boys (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 08/05 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 21/03 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Belgrano (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 19/06 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 28/03 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 20/03 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Newell's Old Boys (W) vs Belgrano (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Belgrano (W) win (51%). Probabilities: Newell's Old Boys (W) 17%, draw 32%, Belgrano (W) 51%.
How many goals are expected in Newell's Old Boys (W) vs Belgrano (W)?
The model expects 1.52 goals (Newell's Old Boys (W) 0.46 · Belgrano (W) 1.06), with a 59% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Newell's Old Boys (W) vs Belgrano (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.