Football · Argentina Championship Women · 13/07, 19:00
Prediction: Ferro Carril Oeste (W) vs Boca Juniors (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.59Total
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)0.61
Boca Juniors (W)0.98
1X2
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
Draw
Boca Juniors (W)
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Boca Juniors (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
2–1–3
Boca Juniors (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 1532 · Boca Juniors (W) 1526
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | Draw | Boca Juniors (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 37% | 42% |
| Market | 24% | 31% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.59 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Boca Juniors (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | Boca Juniors (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.3 | 2.3 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 2–1–3 Boca Juniors (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/25 Argentina Championship Women | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Boca Juniors (W) |
| 24/05/25 Argentina Championship Women | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Boca Juniors (W) |
| 04/12/24 Argentina Championship Women | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Boca Juniors (W) |
| 25/05/24 Argentina Championship Women | Boca Juniors (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) |
| 06/12/23 Argentina Championship Women | Boca Juniors (W) | 4-1 HT 4-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) |
| 11/09/23 Argentina Championship Women | Boca Juniors (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Club (W) | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 8 | 32 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo (W) | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 5 | 32 |
| 3 | River Plate (W) | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors (W) | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 21 |
| 6 | Belgrano (W) | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
| 7 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 23 | 19 |
| 8 | Banfield (W) | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 19 |
| 9 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 18 |
| 10 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 17 |
| 11 | San Luis FC (W) | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
| 12 | Huracan (W) | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 14 |
| 13 | Lanus (W) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 10 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 5 |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 30 | 3 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | Boca Juniors (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Lanus (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| San Luis FC (W) | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| CA Independiente Women | 6-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Huracan (W) | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Belgrano (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| River Plate (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Banfield (W) | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Gimnasia LP (W) | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Boca Juniors (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 15/06 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 21/05 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ferro Carril Oeste (W) vs Boca Juniors (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Boca Juniors (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 23%, draw 34%, Boca Juniors (W) 43%.
How many goals are expected in Ferro Carril Oeste (W) vs Boca Juniors (W)?
The model expects 1.59 goals (Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 0.61 · Boca Juniors (W) 0.98), with a 61% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Ferro Carril Oeste (W) vs Boca Juniors (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.