Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 01/08, 23:30
Prediction: Palestino vs Coquimbo Unido
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Palestino1.18
Coquimbo Unido1.27
1X2
Palestino
Draw
Coquimbo Unido
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Palestino
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Coquimbo Unido
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Palestino
1–3–2
Coquimbo Unido
(6 last)
- Coquimbo Unido3-1Palestino
- Palestino1-2Coquimbo Unido
- Coquimbo Unido0-0Palestino
- Palestino2-0Coquimbo Unido
- Coquimbo Unido0-0Palestino
- Palestino1-1Coquimbo Unido
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Palestino 1480 · Coquimbo Unido 1566
| Palestino | Draw | Coquimbo Unido | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Market | 34% | 29% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coquimbo Unido (rating 1480 vs 1566).
- H2H favours Coquimbo Unido: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Palestino | Coquimbo Unido | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6 | 3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.7 | 3.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Palestino 1–3–2 Coquimbo Unido
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Coquimbo Unido | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Palestino |
| 08/11/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Palestino | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 25/05/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Coquimbo Unido | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Palestino |
| 06/10/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Palestino | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 06/06/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Coquimbo Unido | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Palestino |
| 17/07/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Palestino | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Coquimbo Unido |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 39 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 27 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 24 |
| 5 | Palestino | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 24 |
| 6 | Huachipato | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
| 7 | Everton de Vina | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Nublense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 26 | 21 |
| 10 | O'Higgins | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 20 |
| 11 | La Serena | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 19 |
| 12 | Universidad de Concepcion | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 19 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Concepcion | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 14 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 32 | 14 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 28 | 12 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Palestino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Cup |
1-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 04/07 | Magallanes Chile Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 8 | W |
| 01/07 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 24/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 20/06 | Magallanes Chile Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 08/06 | O'Higgins Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
Coquimbo Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Union La Calera Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 09/07 | Union La Calera Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Deportes Iquique Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 02/07 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 27/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Deportes Iquique Chile Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Palestino vs Coquimbo Unido?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Coquimbo Unido win (37%). Probabilities: Palestino 33%, draw 29%, Coquimbo Unido 37%.
How many goals are expected in Palestino vs Coquimbo Unido?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Palestino 1.18 · Coquimbo Unido 1.27), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Palestino vs Coquimbo Unido?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.