Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 13/07, 12:00
Prediction: Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Modbury Jets
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Adelaide Blue Eagles1.4
Modbury Jets1.53
1X2
Adelaide Blue Eagles
Draw
Modbury Jets
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Adelaide Blue Eagles
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Modbury Jets
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Adelaide Blue Eagles
3–2–1
Modbury Jets
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adelaide Blue Eagles 1554 · Modbury Jets 1511
| Adelaide Blue Eagles | Draw | Modbury Jets | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Market | 35% | 24% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adelaide Blue Eagles (rating 1554 vs 1511).
- H2H favours Adelaide Blue Eagles: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Adelaide Blue Eagles | Modbury Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5 | 3.4 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.4 | 3.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide Blue Eagles 3–2–1 Modbury Jets
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Modbury Jets | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Adelaide Blue Eagles |
| 11/01/25 Australia Friendlies | Modbury Jets | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Adelaide Blue Eagles |
| 18/03/23 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Modbury Jets |
| 05/08/22 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Modbury Jets | 3-4 HT 2-1 | Adelaide Blue Eagles |
| 14/05/22 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Modbury Jets |
| 05/09/20 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Modbury Jets |
Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 46 | 23 | 34 |
| 2 | Fulham United FC | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 24 | 33 |
| 3 | Adelaide Olympic | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 31 |
| 4 | Adelaide Atletico | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 30 |
| 5 | Modbury Jets | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 29 |
| 6 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 27 |
| 7 | Cumberland United | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 23 | 25 |
| 8 | Cove | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 25 |
| 9 | Eastern United | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 16 |
| 10 | Adelaide Cobras | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 37 | 16 |
| 11 | Salisbury United | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 39 | 11 |
| 12 | South Adelaide | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 47 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Adelaide Blue Eagles | Modbury Jets |
|---|---|---|
| South Adelaide | 4-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Adelaide Olympic | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Cove | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Eastern United | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Fulham United FC | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 4-3 W | 1-3 L |
| Cumberland United | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Adelaide Blue Eagles (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adelaide Blue Eagles
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 30/05 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 9 | W |
Modbury Jets
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 05/06 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 12 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Modbury Jets?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Modbury Jets win (40%). Probabilities: Adelaide Blue Eagles 35%, draw 25%, Modbury Jets 40%.
How many goals are expected in Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Modbury Jets?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Adelaide Blue Eagles 1.4 · Modbury Jets 1.53), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Modbury Jets?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.