Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 16/07, 11:45
Prediction: Fulham United FC vs Cumberland United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.35Total
Fulham United FC2.01
Cumberland United1.34
1X2
Fulham United FC
Draw
Cumberland United
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Fulham United FC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Cumberland United
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fulham United FC
1–1–4
Cumberland United
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fulham United FC 1558 · Cumberland United 1534
| Fulham United FC | Draw | Cumberland United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 23% | 24% |
| Market | 53% | 22% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cumberland United: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fulham United FC | Cumberland United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.5 | 2.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.6 | 2.4 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fulham United FC 1–1–4 Cumberland United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Cumberland United | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Fulham United FC |
| 21/06/25 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Cumberland United | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Fulham United FC |
| 22/03/25 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Fulham United FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cumberland United |
| 08/06/24 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Fulham United FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cumberland United |
| 19/03/24 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Cumberland United | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Fulham United FC |
| 12/08/23 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Fulham United FC | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Cumberland United |
Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 46 | 23 | 34 |
| 2 | Fulham United FC | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 24 | 33 |
| 3 | Adelaide Olympic | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 31 |
| 4 | Adelaide Atletico | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 30 |
| 5 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 30 |
| 6 | Modbury Jets | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 16 | 29 |
| 7 | Cumberland United | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 23 | 25 |
| 8 | Cove | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 25 |
| 9 | Eastern United | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 16 |
| 10 | Adelaide Cobras | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 37 | 16 |
| 11 | Salisbury United | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 39 | 11 |
| 12 | South Adelaide | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 47 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fulham United FC | Cumberland United |
|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Cobras | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| South Adelaide | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Salisbury United | 2-2 D | 4-3 W |
| Adelaide Atletico | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Modbury Jets | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Adelaide Olympic | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Eastern United | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cumberland United (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fulham United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/06 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
Cumberland United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Federation Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 04/07 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/06 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
4-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/06 | Adelaide Cobras Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
3-0 | 4-3 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fulham United FC vs Cumberland United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fulham United FC win (52%). Probabilities: Fulham United FC 52%, draw 23%, Cumberland United 25%.
How many goals are expected in Fulham United FC vs Cumberland United?
The model expects 3.35 goals (Fulham United FC 2.01 · Cumberland United 1.34), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Fulham United FC vs Cumberland United?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.