Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 18/07, 07:30
Prediction: Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Eastern United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.48Total
Adelaide Croatia Raiders2.38
Eastern United1.1
1X2
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Draw
Eastern United
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Eastern United
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
3–1–0
Eastern United
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adelaide Croatia Raiders 1562 · Eastern United 1482
| Adelaide Croatia Raiders | Draw | Eastern United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 20% | 15% |
| Market | 66% | 18% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adelaide Croatia Raiders (rating 1562 vs 1482).
- H2H favours Adelaide Croatia Raiders: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Adelaide Croatia Raiders | Eastern United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 1.9 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.1 | 1.5 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide Croatia Raiders 3–1–0 Eastern United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Eastern United | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders |
| 25/04/23 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Eastern United |
| 09/07/22 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Eastern United | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders |
| 09/04/22 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Eastern United |
Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 46 | 23 | 34 |
| 2 | Fulham United FC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 27 | 33 |
| 3 | Adelaide Olympic | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 31 |
| 4 | Adelaide Atletico | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 30 |
| 5 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 30 |
| 6 | Modbury Jets | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 16 | 29 |
| 7 | Cumberland United | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 24 | 28 |
| 8 | Cove | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 25 |
| 9 | Eastern United | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 16 |
| 10 | Adelaide Cobras | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 37 | 16 |
| 11 | Salisbury United | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 39 | 11 |
| 12 | South Adelaide | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 47 | 11 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | Eastern United |
|---|---|---|
| Cumberland United | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Adelaide Cobras | 7-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Adelaide Atletico | 3-1 W | 0-5 L |
| South Adelaide | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Salisbury United | 3-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Modbury Jets | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Adelaide Olympic | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Cove | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Adelaide Blue Eagles | 3-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Fulham United FC | 2-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Adelaide Croatia Raiders (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 7-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 3-4 | 14 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
Eastern United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 26/06 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 12/06 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 05/06 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-4 | 0-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Eastern United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Adelaide Croatia Raiders win (65%). Probabilities: Adelaide Croatia Raiders 65%, draw 19%, Eastern United 16%.
How many goals are expected in Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Eastern United?
The model expects 3.48 goals (Adelaide Croatia Raiders 2.38 · Eastern United 1.1), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Eastern United?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.