Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 18/07, 07:30
Prediction: Adelaide Atletico vs Adelaide Olympic
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
Adelaide Atletico1.63
Adelaide Olympic1.5
1X2
Adelaide Atletico
Draw
Adelaide Olympic
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Adelaide Atletico
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Adelaide Olympic
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Adelaide Atletico
1–1
Adelaide Olympic
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adelaide Atletico 1532 · Adelaide Olympic 1513
| Adelaide Atletico | Draw | Adelaide Olympic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| Market | 41% | 24% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Adelaide Atletico | Adelaide Olympic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.5 | 3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide Atletico 1–0–1 Adelaide Olympic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Olympic | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Adelaide Atletico |
| 21/05/19 Australia FFA Cup | Adelaide Atletico | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Adelaide Olympic |
Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 46 | 23 | 34 |
| 2 | Fulham United FC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 27 | 33 |
| 3 | Adelaide Olympic | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 31 |
| 4 | Adelaide Atletico | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 30 |
| 5 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 30 |
| 6 | Modbury Jets | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 16 | 29 |
| 7 | Cumberland United | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 24 | 28 |
| 8 | Cove | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 25 |
| 9 | Eastern United | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 16 |
| 10 | Adelaide Cobras | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 37 | 16 |
| 11 | Salisbury United | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 39 | 11 |
| 12 | South Adelaide | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 47 | 11 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Adelaide Atletico | Adelaide Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Cove | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Adelaide Blue Eagles | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Fulham United FC | 1-4 L | 4-0 W |
| Cumberland United | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Adelaide Cobras | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| South Adelaide | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Eastern United | 5-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Salisbury United | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Modbury Jets | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 3 L | 6 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Adelaide Atletico (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adelaide Atletico
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 27/06 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
4-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Adelaide Olympic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 12/06 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 29/05 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adelaide Atletico vs Adelaide Olympic?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Adelaide Atletico win (40%). Probabilities: Adelaide Atletico 40%, draw 25%, Adelaide Olympic 35%.
How many goals are expected in Adelaide Atletico vs Adelaide Olympic?
The model expects 3.12 goals (Adelaide Atletico 1.63 · Adelaide Olympic 1.5), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Adelaide Atletico vs Adelaide Olympic?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.