Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 18/07, 07:30
Prediction: Salisbury United vs Modbury Jets
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Salisbury United1.07
Modbury Jets2.02
1X2
Salisbury United
Draw
Modbury Jets
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Salisbury United
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Modbury Jets
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Salisbury United
0–3
Modbury Jets
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salisbury United 1427 · Modbury Jets 1519
| Salisbury United | Draw | Modbury Jets | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 23% | 58% |
| Market | 20% | 21% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Modbury Jets (rating 1427 vs 1519).
- H2H favours Modbury Jets: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Salisbury United | Modbury Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.5 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.1 | 2.5 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Salisbury United 0–0–3 Modbury Jets
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Modbury Jets | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Salisbury United |
| 13/04/19 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Modbury Jets | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Salisbury United |
| 31/03/18 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Salisbury United | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Modbury Jets |
Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 46 | 23 | 34 |
| 2 | Fulham United FC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 27 | 33 |
| 3 | Adelaide Olympic | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 31 |
| 4 | Adelaide Atletico | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 30 |
| 5 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 30 |
| 6 | Modbury Jets | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 16 | 29 |
| 7 | Cumberland United | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 24 | 28 |
| 8 | Cove | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 25 |
| 9 | Eastern United | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 16 |
| 10 | Adelaide Cobras | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 37 | 16 |
| 11 | Salisbury United | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 39 | 11 |
| 12 | South Adelaide | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 47 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Salisbury United | Modbury Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Olympic | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Cove | 0-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Fulham United FC | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Adelaide Blue Eagles | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 4-3 W | 1-3 L |
| Cumberland United | 3-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Adelaide Cobras | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Eastern United | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Modbury Jets (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salisbury United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
Modbury Jets
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 07/07 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 05/06 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salisbury United vs Modbury Jets?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Modbury Jets win (59%). Probabilities: Salisbury United 19%, draw 22%, Modbury Jets 59%.
How many goals are expected in Salisbury United vs Modbury Jets?
The model expects 3.09 goals (Salisbury United 1.07 · Modbury Jets 2.02), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Salisbury United vs Modbury Jets?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.