Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 18/07, 07:30
Prediction: Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Adelaide Cobras
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.88Total
Adelaide Blue Eagles2.58
Adelaide Cobras1.3
1X2
Adelaide Blue Eagles
Draw
Adelaide Cobras
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Adelaide Blue Eagles
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Adelaide Cobras
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Adelaide Blue Eagles
4–2
Adelaide Cobras
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adelaide Blue Eagles 1560 · Adelaide Cobras 1414
| Adelaide Blue Eagles | Draw | Adelaide Cobras | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 19% | 17% |
| Market | 64% | 20% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.88 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adelaide Blue Eagles (rating 1560 vs 1414).
- H2H favours Adelaide Blue Eagles: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Adelaide Blue Eagles | Adelaide Cobras | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.6 | 1.9 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.5 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide Blue Eagles 4–0–2 Adelaide Cobras
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Cobras | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Adelaide Blue Eagles |
| 02/08/25 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Cobras | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Adelaide Blue Eagles |
| 10/05/25 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Adelaide Cobras |
| 03/08/24 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Adelaide Cobras |
| 11/05/24 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Cobras | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Adelaide Blue Eagles |
| 13/05/23 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Adelaide Cobras |
Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 46 | 23 | 34 |
| 2 | Fulham United FC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 27 | 33 |
| 3 | Adelaide Olympic | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 31 |
| 4 | Adelaide Atletico | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 30 |
| 5 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 30 |
| 6 | Modbury Jets | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 16 | 29 |
| 7 | Cumberland United | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 24 | 28 |
| 8 | Cove | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 25 |
| 9 | Eastern United | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 16 |
| 10 | Adelaide Cobras | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 37 | 16 |
| 11 | Salisbury United | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 39 | 11 |
| 12 | South Adelaide | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 47 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Adelaide Blue Eagles | Adelaide Cobras |
|---|---|---|
| Modbury Jets | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| South Adelaide | 4-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Adelaide Atletico | 0-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Salisbury United | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Eastern United | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Fulham United FC | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 4-3 W | 0-7 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Adelaide Blue Eagles (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adelaide Blue Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/07 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 30/05 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 7 | W |
Adelaide Cobras
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-7 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/06 | Cumberland United Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Adelaide Cobras?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Adelaide Blue Eagles win (64%). Probabilities: Adelaide Blue Eagles 64%, draw 19%, Adelaide Cobras 16%.
How many goals are expected in Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Adelaide Cobras?
The model expects 3.88 goals (Adelaide Blue Eagles 2.58 · Adelaide Cobras 1.3), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Adelaide Cobras?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.