Football · Australia NPL Queensland Women · 14/07, 11:30
Prediction: Capalaba (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
Capalaba (W)1.61
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)1.52
1X2
Capalaba (W)
Draw
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Capalaba (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Capalaba (W)
1–1–4
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Capalaba (W) 1455 · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 1479
| Capalaba (W) | Draw | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| Market | 40% | 25% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Capalaba (W) | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.1 | 1.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.6 | 1.4 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 1.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Capalaba (W) 1–1–4 Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Capalaba (W) |
| 07/02/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Capalaba (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
| 18/08/23 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Capalaba (W) |
| 11/06/23 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Capalaba (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
| 02/04/23 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Capalaba (W) |
| 11/09/22 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Capalaba (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Brisbane City (W) | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 50 | 13 | 45 |
| 3 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Lions FC (W) | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 48 | 20 | 39 |
| 5 | Gold Coast United (W) | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 30 |
| 6 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 27 | 30 |
| 7 | Capalaba (W) | 21 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 29 | 46 | 22 |
| 8 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 25 | 35 | 20 |
| 9 | FQ QAS Women | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 43 | 64 | 19 |
| 10 | Souths United NPL (W) | 22 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 99 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Capalaba (W) | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Souths United NPL (W) | 6-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Gold Coast Knights (W) | 1-5 L | 1-1 D |
| FQ QAS Women | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Gold Coast United (W) | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Capalaba (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
4-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-2 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 30/06 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 23/06 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 03/06 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
4-0 | 4-3 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 24/06 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 21/06 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 12/05 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Capalaba (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Capalaba (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Capalaba (W) 39%, draw 25%, Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 35%.
How many goals are expected in Capalaba (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)?
The model expects 3.12 goals (Capalaba (W) 1.61 · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 1.52), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Capalaba (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.