Football · Australia NPL Queensland Women · 18/07, 09:00
Prediction: Brisbane Olympic FC (W) vs Gold Coast United (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)1.72
Gold Coast United (W)1.25
1X2
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
Draw
Gold Coast United (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Gold Coast United (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
1–2–3
Gold Coast United (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 1529 · Gold Coast United (W) 1529
| Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | Draw | Gold Coast United (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gold Coast United (W): 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | Gold Coast United (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 2.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3 | 1.6 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.8 / 0 | 1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 1–2–3 Gold Coast United (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Gold Coast United (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) |
| 28/03/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Gold Coast United (W) |
| 29/06/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Gold Coast United (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) |
| 27/04/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Gold Coast United (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) |
| 27/02/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Gold Coast United (W) |
| 09/07/23 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Gold Coast United (W) | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Brisbane City (W) | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 51 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 43 |
| 4 | Lions FC (W) | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 48 | 20 | 39 |
| 5 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 33 |
| 6 | Gold Coast United (W) | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 31 | 31 |
| 7 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 27 | 36 | 23 |
| 8 | Capalaba (W) | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 30 | 48 | 22 |
| 9 | FQ QAS Women | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 43 | 64 | 19 |
| 10 | Souths United NPL (W) | 22 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 99 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | Gold Coast United (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Gold Coast Knights (W) | 1-1 D | 0-5 L |
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Brisbane City (W) | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Brisbane Olympic FC (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 30/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/06 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 03/06 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
Gold Coast United (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
7-0 | 12-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 24/06 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/05 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brisbane Olympic FC (W) vs Gold Coast United (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Brisbane Olympic FC (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 47%, draw 26%, Gold Coast United (W) 27%.
How many goals are expected in Brisbane Olympic FC (W) vs Gold Coast United (W)?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 1.72 · Gold Coast United (W) 1.25), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Brisbane Olympic FC (W) vs Gold Coast United (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.