Football · Australia NPL Queensland Women · 19/07, 08:00
Prediction: Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) vs Souths United NPL (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.63Total
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)3.31
Souths United NPL (W)1.31
1X2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Draw
Souths United NPL (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Souths United NPL (W)
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
5–1
Souths United NPL (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 1486 · Souths United NPL (W) 1343
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | Draw | Souths United NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 89% | 7% | 4% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.63 goals · Bet365 line 4.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) (rating 1486 vs 1343).
- H2H favours Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W): 5-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | Souths United NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 6.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 3.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 0/10/90% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.6 | 1 / 1.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0.1 | 1.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 5–0–1 Souths United NPL (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Souths United NPL (W) | 1-5 HT 1-2 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
| 28/03/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Souths United NPL (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
| 18/07/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Souths United NPL (W) |
| 18/05/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Souths United NPL (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
| 22/04/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Souths United NPL (W) |
| 14/07/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Souths United NPL (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Brisbane City (W) | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 51 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 43 |
| 4 | Lions FC (W) | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 48 | 20 | 39 |
| 5 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 33 |
| 6 | Gold Coast United (W) | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 31 | 31 |
| 7 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 27 | 36 | 23 |
| 8 | Capalaba (W) | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 30 | 48 | 22 |
| 9 | FQ QAS Women | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 43 | 64 | 19 |
| 10 | Souths United NPL (W) | 22 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 99 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | Souths United NPL (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Capalaba (W) | 2-1 W | 0-6 L |
| Brisbane City (W) | 1-2 L | 0-6 L |
| FQ QAS Women | 3-2 W | 3-4 L |
| Gold Coast Knights (W) | 1-1 D | 0-13 L |
| Gold Coast United (W) | 0-1 L | 0-12 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 24/06 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 21/06 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
Souths United NPL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-4 | 0-6 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-8 | 0-13 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-7 | 0-12 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 30/06 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-6 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21/06 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 12/06 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-5 | 2-8 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 12/05 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) vs Souths United NPL (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) win (83%). Probabilities: Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 83%, draw 10%, Souths United NPL (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) vs Souths United NPL (W)?
The model expects 4.63 goals (Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 3.31 · Souths United NPL (W) 1.31), with a 54% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) vs Souths United NPL (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.