Football · Australia NPL Victoria Women · 14/07, 12:30

Prediction: Boroondara Eagles (W) vs Preston Lions (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.54Total

Boroondara Eagles (W)2.26

Preston Lions (W)1.28

1X2

58% 22% 20%

Boroondara Eagles (W) Draw Preston Lions (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Boroondara Eagles (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Preston Lions (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Boroondara Eagles (W) 4–2 Preston Lions (W) (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boroondara Eagles (W) 1500 · Preston Lions (W) 1443

	Boroondara Eagles (W)	Draw	Preston Lions (W)
Our model	59%	21%	20%
Market	58%	22%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boroondara Eagles (W) (rating 1500 vs 1443).
H2H favours Boroondara Eagles (W): 4-0-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Boroondara Eagles (W)	Preston Lions (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	1.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.5	2.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0	1.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Boroondara Eagles (W) 4–0–2 Preston Lions (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Preston Lions (W)	1-4 HT 1-1	Boroondara Eagles (W)
11/07/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Preston Lions (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Boroondara Eagles (W)
12/04/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Boroondara Eagles (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Preston Lions (W)
07/06/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Preston Lions (W)	4-3 HT 2-2	Boroondara Eagles (W)
16/03/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Boroondara Eagles (W)	2-3 HT 2-0	Preston Lions (W)
30/06/23 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Preston Lions (W)	2-5 HT 1-2	Boroondara Eagles (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Box Hill (W)	20	14	2	4	56	24	44
2	Bulleen Lions (W)	20	13	3	4	50	19	42
3	Essendon Royals (W)	20	13	2	5	54	23	41
4	Avondale FC (W)	20	12	2	6	48	22	38
5	South Melbourne (W)	20	11	5	4	41	19	38
6	Alamein FC (W)	20	11	2	7	27	21	35
7	Boroondara Eagles (W)	19	11	1	7	40	29	34
8	Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	19	8	2	9	33	36	26
9	Spring Hills FC (W)	20	8	2	10	25	29	26
10	Heidelberg United (W)	20	6	4	10	31	39	22
11	Keilor Park (W)	20	6	4	10	21	36	22
12	Preston Lions (W)	19	4	5	10	23	37	17
13	Melbourne City NPL (W)	19	2	1	16	19	75	7
14	Bentleigh Greens (W)	20	1	1	18	14	73	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Boroondara Eagles (W)	Preston Lions (W)
Box Hill (W)	1-3 L	0-3 L
South Melbourne (W)	1-0 W	0-3 L
Heidelberg United (W)	3-1 W	2-0 W
Bentleigh Greens (W)	0-1 L	5-3 W
Essendon Royals (W)	0-4 L	1-1 D
Keilor Park (W)	5-2 W	2-2 D
Bulleen Lions (W)	1-2 L	2-2 D
Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	2-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Boroondara Eagles (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boroondara Eagles (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/07	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-3	2	1	L
05/07	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
27/06	Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	3-1	6	1	W
05/06	Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
31/05	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-4	5	0	L
24/05	Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	3-0	8	2	W
16/05	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-1	5-2	7	2	W
10/05	Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
02/05	Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-2	1-2	5	0	L
29/04	Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-2	2-3	2	0	L

Preston Lions (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/07	Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	2-2	2	3	D
04/07	Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
26/06	Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
07/06	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
30/05	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-3	1	2	L
22/05	Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	2-0	9	0	W
17/05	Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
10/05	Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	5-3	6	1	W
02/05	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
18/04	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	2-2	7	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boroondara Eagles (W) vs Preston Lions (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Boroondara Eagles (W) win (58%). Probabilities: Boroondara Eagles (W) 58%, draw 22%, Preston Lions (W) 20%.

How many goals are expected in Boroondara Eagles (W) vs Preston Lions (W)?

The model expects 3.54 goals (Boroondara Eagles (W) 2.26 · Preston Lions (W) 1.28), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Boroondara Eagles (W) vs Preston Lions (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.