Football · Australia NPL Victoria Women · 18/07, 08:00

Prediction: Bulleen Lions (W) vs Heidelberg United (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.14Total

Bulleen Lions (W)2.88

Heidelberg United (W)1.27

1X2

69% 17% 13%

Bulleen Lions (W) Draw Heidelberg United (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Bulleen Lions (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWDWDL

Heidelberg United (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Bulleen Lions (W) 3–3 Heidelberg United (W) (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bulleen Lions (W) 1581 · Heidelberg United (W) 1425

	Bulleen Lions (W)	Draw	Heidelberg United (W)
Our model	70%	17%	14%
Market	69%	18%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 4.14 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bulleen Lions (W) (rating 1581 vs 1425).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bulleen Lions (W)	Heidelberg United (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.3	1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	1.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bulleen Lions (W) 3–0–3 Heidelberg United (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Heidelberg United (W)	1-6 HT 1-3	Bulleen Lions (W)
23/08/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Heidelberg United (W)	1-4 HT 0-1	Bulleen Lions (W)
24/05/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Bulleen Lions (W)	1-2 HT 0-2	Heidelberg United (W)
31/08/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Bulleen Lions (W)	2-4 HT 0-2	Heidelberg United (W)
17/06/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Heidelberg United (W)	3-1 HT 0-0	Bulleen Lions (W)
23/03/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Bulleen Lions (W)	3-1 HT 1-1	Heidelberg United (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Box Hill (W)	20	14	2	4	56	24	44
2	Bulleen Lions (W)	20	13	3	4	50	19	42
3	Essendon Royals (W)	20	13	2	5	54	23	41
4	Avondale FC (W)	20	12	2	6	48	22	38
5	South Melbourne (W)	20	11	5	4	41	19	38
6	Alamein FC (W)	20	11	2	7	27	21	35
7	Boroondara Eagles (W)	20	11	1	8	41	31	34
8	Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	19	8	2	9	33	36	26
9	Spring Hills FC (W)	20	8	2	10	25	29	26
10	Heidelberg United (W)	20	6	4	10	31	39	22
11	Keilor Park (W)	20	6	4	10	21	36	22
12	Preston Lions (W)	20	5	5	10	25	38	20
13	Melbourne City NPL (W)	19	2	1	16	19	75	7
14	Bentleigh Greens (W)	20	1	1	18	14	73	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bulleen Lions (W)	Heidelberg United (W)
Essendon Royals (W)	2-4 L	1-1 D
Preston Lions (W)	2-2 D	0-2 L
Bentleigh Greens (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Box Hill (W)	2-2 D	1-3 L
Spring Hills FC (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Avondale FC (W)	3-3 D	3-1 W
Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	2-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Bulleen Lions (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Bulleen Lions (W)

WDWLWWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/07	Essendon Royals (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women	2-2	2-4	3	3	L
10/07	Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
03/07	Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	1-0	11	1	W
30/06	Box Hill (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women	1-1	2-2	7	5	D
27/06	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
20/06	Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	5-0	7	1	W
06/06	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	0	5	L
02/06	Spring Hills FC (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women	1-0	1-0	5	0	W
30/05	Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	3-3	4	0	D
23/05	Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	2-0	3	3	W

Heidelberg United (W)

DWWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-2	4	0	L
03/07	Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
27/06	Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-3	4	1	L
21/06	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-3	2	3	L
06/06	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-2	1-2	2	2	L
30/05	Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
22/05	Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-2	6	0	L
19/05	Avondale FC (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women	2-1	3-1	3	2	W
15/05	Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	2-1	8	0	W
09/05	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-1	4	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bulleen Lions (W) vs Heidelberg United (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bulleen Lions (W) win (69%). Probabilities: Bulleen Lions (W) 69%, draw 17%, Heidelberg United (W) 13%.

How many goals are expected in Bulleen Lions (W) vs Heidelberg United (W)?

The model expects 4.14 goals (Bulleen Lions (W) 2.88 · Heidelberg United (W) 1.27), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bulleen Lions (W) vs Heidelberg United (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.