Football · Australia NPL Victoria Women · 19/07, 08:30
Prediction: Boroondara Eagles (W) vs Melbourne Victory NPL (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Boroondara Eagles (W)1.7
Melbourne Victory NPL (W)1.5
1X2
Boroondara Eagles (W)
Draw
Melbourne Victory NPL (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Boroondara Eagles (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Melbourne Victory NPL (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boroondara Eagles (W)
0–1
Melbourne Victory NPL (W)
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boroondara Eagles (W) 1472 · Melbourne Victory NPL (W) 1483
| Boroondara Eagles (W) | Draw | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Market | 42% | 25% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boroondara Eagles (W) | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 2.7 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 1.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boroondara Eagles (W) 0–0–1 Melbourne Victory NPL (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Boroondara Eagles (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Box Hill (W) | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 24 | 44 |
| 2 | Bulleen Lions (W) | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 50 | 19 | 42 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals (W) | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 54 | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Avondale FC (W) | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 48 | 22 | 38 |
| 5 | South Melbourne (W) | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 41 | 19 | 38 |
| 6 | Alamein FC (W) | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 35 |
| 7 | Boroondara Eagles (W) | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 31 | 34 |
| 8 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 36 | 26 |
| 9 | Spring Hills FC (W) | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 26 |
| 10 | Heidelberg United (W) | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 39 | 22 |
| 11 | Keilor Park (W) | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 36 | 22 |
| 12 | Preston Lions (W) | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 38 | 20 |
| 13 | Melbourne City NPL (W) | 19 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 19 | 75 | 7 |
| 14 | Bentleigh Greens (W) | 20 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | 73 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boroondara Eagles (W) | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Preston Lions (W) | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Box Hill (W) | 1-3 L | 1-5 L |
| South Melbourne (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Heidelberg United (W) | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Bentleigh Greens (W) | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| Keilor Park (W) | 5-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Avondale FC (W) | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Bulleen Lions (W) | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Boroondara Eagles (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boroondara Eagles (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 05/06 | Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-1 | 5-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
Melbourne Victory NPL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 06/06 | Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 29/04 | Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boroondara Eagles (W) vs Melbourne Victory NPL (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boroondara Eagles (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Boroondara Eagles (W) 42%, draw 25%, Melbourne Victory NPL (W) 33%.
How many goals are expected in Boroondara Eagles (W) vs Melbourne Victory NPL (W)?
The model expects 3.2 goals (Boroondara Eagles (W) 1.7 · Melbourne Victory NPL (W) 1.5), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Boroondara Eagles (W) vs Melbourne Victory NPL (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.