Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 16/08, 17:10

Prediction: Glasgow City (W) vs Celtic (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Glasgow City (W)1.82

Celtic (W)0.99

1X2

57% 23% 20%

Glasgow City (W) Draw Celtic (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Glasgow City (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDDLDW

Celtic (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLDDLLDW

Head-to-head

Glasgow City (W) 2–4–0 Celtic (W) (6 last)

Celtic (W)1-1Glasgow City (W)
Glasgow City (W)1-1Celtic (W)
Celtic (W)1-1Glasgow City (W)
Glasgow City (W)1-1Celtic (W)
Celtic (W)1-2Glasgow City (W)
Glasgow City (W)3-1Celtic (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Glasgow City (W) 1530 · Celtic (W) 1467

	Glasgow City (W)	Draw	Celtic (W)
Our model	56%	25%	19%
Market	58%	21%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Glasgow City (W) (rating 1530 vs 1467).
H2H favours Glasgow City (W): 2-4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Glasgow City (W)	Celtic (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.9	0.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.55

X4.20

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:51 +3’	1.55	4.20	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Glasgow City (W) 2–4–0 Celtic (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Scotland Women FA Cup	Celtic (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Glasgow City (W)
29/04/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Glasgow City (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Celtic (W)
18/03/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Celtic (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Glasgow City (W)
08/02/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Glasgow City (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Celtic (W)
19/10/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Celtic (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Glasgow City (W)
04/05/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Glasgow City (W)	3-1 HT 3-0	Celtic (W)

Standings · Scotland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aberdeen (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Celtic (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Glasgow City (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hearts (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hibernian (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Montrose LFC (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Motherwell (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Partick Thistle (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rangers (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Spartans (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Glasgow City (W)	Celtic (W)
Rangers (W)	6-0 W	1-0 W
Hearts (W)	0-0 D	1-2 L
Hibernian (W)	2-3 L	0-1 L
Partick Thistle (W)	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Glasgow City (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Glasgow City (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/05	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	3-0	6-0	8	1	W
17/05	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
10/05	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	2-3	8	2	L
02/05	Celtic (W) Scotland Women FA Cup	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
29/04	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	10	3	D
24/04	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
05/04	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	6	0	L
01/04	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
29/03	Rangers (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women	0-0	2-1	4	1	W
22/03	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	4	1	L

Celtic (W)

WLLLDDLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/05	Rangers (W) Scotland FA Cup Women	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
24/05	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
17/05	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-4	2	5	L
10/05	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-2	1-2	2	3	L
02/05	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Women FA Cup	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
29/04	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	1	3	D
24/04	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
06/04	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	5	2	L
01/04	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	1-4	2	4	L
22/03	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	3-2	14	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Glasgow City (W) vs Celtic (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Glasgow City (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Glasgow City (W) 57%, draw 23%, Celtic (W) 20%.

How many goals are expected in Glasgow City (W) vs Celtic (W)?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Glasgow City (W) 1.82 · Celtic (W) 0.99), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Glasgow City (W) vs Celtic (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.