Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 23/08, 14:00
Prediction: Aberdeen (W) vs Glasgow City (W)
Team pages: Aberdeen (W) · Glasgow City (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
Aberdeen (W)0.7
Glasgow City (W)2.7
1X2
Aberdeen (W)
Draw
Glasgow City (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Aberdeen (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Glasgow City (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aberdeen (W)
0–6
Glasgow City (W)
(6 last)
- Glasgow City (W)2-0Aberdeen (W)
- Glasgow City (W)5-0Aberdeen (W)
- Aberdeen (W)0-1Glasgow City (W)
- Glasgow City (W)6-1Aberdeen (W)
- Aberdeen (W)0-5Glasgow City (W)
- Glasgow City (W)8-1Aberdeen (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aberdeen (W) 1426 · Glasgow City (W) 1532
| Aberdeen (W) | Draw | Glasgow City (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 15% | 79% |
| Market | 2% | 5% | 94% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.41 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Glasgow City (W) (rating 1426 vs 1532).
- H2H favours Glasgow City (W): 6-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aberdeen (W) | Glasgow City (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.8 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.7 | 2.4 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 1.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aberdeen (W) 0–0–6 Glasgow City (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/25 Scotland SWPL Cup Women | Glasgow City (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Aberdeen (W) |
| 02/11/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Glasgow City (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Aberdeen (W) |
| 23/08/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Aberdeen (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Glasgow City (W) |
| 12/01/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Glasgow City (W) | 6-1 | Aberdeen (W) |
| 06/10/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Aberdeen (W) | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Glasgow City (W) |
| 03/03/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Glasgow City (W) | 8-1 HT 4-0 | Aberdeen (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aberdeen (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Celtic (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Glasgow City (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hearts (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hibernian (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montrose LFC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Motherwell (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Partick Thistle (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rangers (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spartans (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aberdeen (W) | Glasgow City (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Hearts (W) | 0-6 L | 0-0 D |
| Hibernian (W) | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Glasgow City (W) (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aberdeen (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 05/04 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/02 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/02 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 01/02 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
Glasgow City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 01/04 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/03 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aberdeen (W) vs Glasgow City (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Glasgow City (W) win (87%). Probabilities: Aberdeen (W) 4%, draw 9%, Glasgow City (W) 87%.
How many goals are expected in Aberdeen (W) vs Glasgow City (W)?
The model expects 3.41 goals (Aberdeen (W) 0.7 · Glasgow City (W) 2.7), with a 61% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Aberdeen (W) vs Glasgow City (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.