Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 23/08, 14:00
Prediction: Partick Thistle (W) vs Hibernian (W)
Team pages: Partick Thistle (W) · Hibernian (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Partick Thistle (W)0.54
Hibernian (W)2.54
1X2
Partick Thistle (W)
Draw
Hibernian (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Partick Thistle (W)
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Hibernian (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Partick Thistle (W)
0–2–4
Hibernian (W)
(6 last)
- Partick Thistle (W)1-3Hibernian (W)
- Hibernian (W)0-0Partick Thistle (W)
- Hibernian (W)3-0Partick Thistle (W)
- Partick Thistle (W)0-5Hibernian (W)
- Hibernian (W)1-1Partick Thistle (W)
- Partick Thistle (W)1-4Hibernian (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Partick Thistle (W) 1425 · Hibernian (W) 1612
| Partick Thistle (W) | Draw | Hibernian (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 5% | 15% | 80% |
| Market | 3% | 9% | 87% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hibernian (W) (rating 1425 vs 1612).
- H2H favours Hibernian (W): 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Partick Thistle (W) | Hibernian (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.1 | 2.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.2 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 2.8 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Partick Thistle (W) 0–2–4 Hibernian (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Partick Thistle (W) | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Hibernian (W) |
| 05/04/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Hibernian (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Partick Thistle (W) |
| 02/11/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Hibernian (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Partick Thistle (W) |
| 22/08/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Partick Thistle (W) | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Hibernian (W) |
| 24/11/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Hibernian (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Partick Thistle (W) |
| 10/11/24 Scotland SWPL Cup Women | Partick Thistle (W) | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Hibernian (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aberdeen (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Celtic (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Glasgow City (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hearts (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hibernian (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montrose LFC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Motherwell (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Partick Thistle (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rangers (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spartans (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Partick Thistle (W) | Hibernian (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Celtic (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Rangers (W) | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Hearts (W) | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Glasgow City (W) | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hibernian (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Partick Thistle (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 28/04 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/04 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 01/04 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 22/03 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/03 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
Hibernian (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 7-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 01/04 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/03 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Partick Thistle (W) vs Hibernian (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hibernian (W) win (84%). Probabilities: Partick Thistle (W) 4%, draw 12%, Hibernian (W) 84%.
How many goals are expected in Partick Thistle (W) vs Hibernian (W)?
The model expects 3.09 goals (Partick Thistle (W) 0.54 · Hibernian (W) 2.54), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Partick Thistle (W) vs Hibernian (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.