Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 16/08, 17:00

Prediction: Hearts (W) vs Aberdeen (W)

Team pages: Aberdeen (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.98Total

Hearts (W)2.99

Aberdeen (W)0.99

1X2

77% 14% 9%

Hearts (W) Draw Aberdeen (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Hearts (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWDLWL

Aberdeen (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWLLWL

Head-to-head

Hearts (W) 6–0 Aberdeen (W) (6 last)

Hearts (W)6-0Aberdeen (W)
Aberdeen (W)1-5Hearts (W)
Aberdeen (W)0-2Hearts (W)
Hearts (W)3-0Aberdeen (W)
Hearts (W)4-0Aberdeen (W)
Aberdeen (W)0-2Hearts (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hearts (W) 1577 · Aberdeen (W) 1451

	Hearts (W)	Draw	Aberdeen (W)
Our model	77%	14%	9%
Market	78%	13%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hearts (W) (rating 1577 vs 1451).
H2H favours Hearts (W): 6-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hearts (W)	Aberdeen (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1	2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	56/11/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	1.8 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.17

X7.00

210.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.98

2 (+2.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
19:40 +5’	1.17	7.00	10.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hearts (W) 6–0–0 Aberdeen (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Hearts (W)	6-0 HT 3-0	Aberdeen (W)
19/10/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Aberdeen (W)	1-5 HT 0-2	Hearts (W)
24/11/24 Scotland Premier League Women	Aberdeen (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Hearts (W)
15/09/24 Scotland Premier League Women	Hearts (W)	3-0 HT 0-0	Aberdeen (W)
11/02/24 Scotland Premier League Women	Hearts (W)	4-0	Aberdeen (W)
27/08/23 Scotland Premier League Women	Aberdeen (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Hearts (W)

Standings · Scotland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aberdeen (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Celtic (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Glasgow City (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hearts (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hibernian (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Montrose LFC (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Motherwell (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Partick Thistle (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rangers (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Spartans (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Hearts (W)

LWWWWWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	HB Koge (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
05/08	Gintra Universitetas (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying	0-1	2-1	9	0	W
24/05	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-2	6	1	L
17/05	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
10/05	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-1	2-1	8	3	W
28/04	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
24/04	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	2-1	0	3	W
05/04	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	1	0	W
01/04	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	4-1	4	4	W
22/03	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	1-2	6	3	L

Aberdeen (W)

WLLWDWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Spartans (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
05/08	Dundee Utd (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
02/08	St Johnstone (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women	0-2	3-4	6	0	L
26/07	Hamilton (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/05	Queens Park (W) Scotland Premier League Play-Offs Women	2-0	5-0	6	1	W
17/05	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	2-2	2	2	D
10/05	Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	4-0	9	0	W
26/04	Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
05/04	Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
22/03	Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	3-2	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hearts (W) vs Aberdeen (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hearts (W) win (77%). Probabilities: Hearts (W) 77%, draw 14%, Aberdeen (W) 9%.

How many goals are expected in Hearts (W) vs Aberdeen (W)?

The model expects 3.98 goals (Hearts (W) 2.99 · Aberdeen (W) 0.99), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hearts (W) vs Aberdeen (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.