Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 23/08, 14:00
Prediction: Celtic (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)
Team pages: Celtic (W) · Montrose LFC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.84Total
Celtic (W)2.92
Montrose LFC (W)0.92
1X2
Celtic (W)
Draw
Montrose LFC (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Celtic (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Montrose LFC (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Celtic (W)
6–0
Montrose LFC (W)
(6 last)
- Celtic (W)1-0Montrose LFC (W)
- Montrose LFC (W)0-4Celtic (W)
- Celtic (W)5-1Montrose LFC (W)
- Montrose LFC (W)0-7Celtic (W)
- Montrose LFC (W)2-4Celtic (W)
- Celtic (W)9-0Montrose LFC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Celtic (W) 1516 · Montrose LFC (W) 1511
| Celtic (W) | Draw | Montrose LFC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 86% | 9% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.84 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Celtic (W): 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Celtic (W) | Montrose LFC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 1.9 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.9 | 2.3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.2 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Celtic (W) 6–0–0 Montrose LFC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Montrose LFC (W) |
| 28/09/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Montrose LFC (W) | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Celtic (W) |
| 24/11/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 5-1 HT 1-1 | Montrose LFC (W) |
| 29/09/24 Scotland SWPL Cup Women | Montrose LFC (W) | 0-7 HT 0-4 | Celtic (W) |
| 19/09/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Montrose LFC (W) | 2-4 HT 0-3 | Celtic (W) |
| 14/01/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 9-0 HT 3-0 | Montrose LFC (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aberdeen (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Celtic (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Glasgow City (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hearts (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hibernian (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montrose LFC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Motherwell (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Partick Thistle (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rangers (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spartans (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Celtic (W) | Montrose LFC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Partick Thistle (W) | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Rangers (W) | 0-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Hearts (W) | 1-2 L | 1-7 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Celtic (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Celtic (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 29/04 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 01/04 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 18/03 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
Montrose LFC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 05/04 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
6-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 22/02 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 08/02 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 28/01 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 1-7 | 0 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Celtic (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Celtic (W) win (82%). Probabilities: Celtic (W) 82%, draw 12%, Montrose LFC (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Celtic (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)?
The model expects 3.84 goals (Celtic (W) 2.92 · Montrose LFC (W) 0.92), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Celtic (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.