Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 16/08, 14:00
Prediction: Spartans (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)
Team pages: Spartans (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Spartans (W)1.6
Partick Thistle (W)1.29
1X2
Spartans (W)
Draw
Partick Thistle (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Spartans (W)
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Partick Thistle (W)
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spartans (W)
0–1–5
Partick Thistle (W)
(6 last)
- Spartans (W)1-2Partick Thistle (W)
- Partick Thistle (W)1-0Spartans (W)
- Partick Thistle (W)1-1Spartans (W)
- Partick Thistle (W)3-2Spartans (W)
- Spartans (W)1-2Partick Thistle (W)
- Spartans (W)0-1Partick Thistle (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spartans (W) 1600 · Partick Thistle (W) 1407
| Spartans (W) | Draw | Partick Thistle (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 24% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartans (W) (rating 1600 vs 1407).
- H2H favours Partick Thistle (W): 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spartans (W) | Partick Thistle (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/0/20% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4 | 1.6 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartans (W) 0–1–5 Partick Thistle (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Spartans (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Partick Thistle (W) |
| 20/04/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Partick Thistle (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Spartans (W) |
| 11/12/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Partick Thistle (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Spartans (W) |
| 29/09/24 Scotland SWPL Cup Women | Partick Thistle (W) | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Spartans (W) |
| 21/08/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Spartans (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Partick Thistle (W) |
| 07/02/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Spartans (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Partick Thistle (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aberdeen (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Celtic (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Glasgow City (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hearts (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hibernian (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montrose LFC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Motherwell (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Partick Thistle (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rangers (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spartans (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spartans (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/08 | Renfrew FC (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Queens Park (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/04 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Partick Thistle (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 28/04 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/04 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 01/04 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 22/03 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/03 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/03 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spartans (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartans (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Spartans (W) 44%, draw 25%, Partick Thistle (W) 31%.
How many goals are expected in Spartans (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Spartans (W) 1.6 · Partick Thistle (W) 1.29), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Spartans (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.