Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 30/08, 14:00

Prediction: Aberdeen (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)

Team pages: Aberdeen (W) · Partick Thistle (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Aberdeen (W)1.32

Partick Thistle (W)1.6

1X2

31% 26% 43%

Aberdeen (W) Draw Partick Thistle (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Aberdeen (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Partick Thistle (W) 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Aberdeen (W) 2–3–1 Partick Thistle (W) (6 last)

Partick Thistle (W)1-0Aberdeen (W)
Aberdeen (W)1-1Partick Thistle (W)
Aberdeen (W)2-0Partick Thistle (W)
Partick Thistle (W)1-2Aberdeen (W)
Aberdeen (W)0-0Partick Thistle (W)
Partick Thistle (W)2-2Aberdeen (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aberdeen (W) 1420 · Partick Thistle (W) 1425

	Aberdeen (W)	Draw	Partick Thistle (W)
Our model	30%	27%	43%
Market	31%	25%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Aberdeen (W): 2-3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aberdeen (W)	Partick Thistle (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.9	0.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.3 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.2	2 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.60

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.88▲	Bet365 2.88
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
2	2.40 → 2.05▼	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
20:27 +13’	2.40	3.50	2.40
23:12 +2’	2.88▲	3.60▲	2.05▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Aberdeen (W) 2–3–1 Partick Thistle (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/11/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Partick Thistle (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Aberdeen (W)
07/09/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Aberdeen (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Partick Thistle (W)
04/05/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Aberdeen (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Partick Thistle (W)
30/03/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Partick Thistle (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Aberdeen (W)
05/02/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Aberdeen (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Partick Thistle (W)
01/09/24 Scotland Premier League Women	Partick Thistle (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	Aberdeen (W)

Standings · Scotland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hearts (W)	2	2	0	0	11	0	6
2	Rangers (W)	2	2	0	0	11	1	6
3	Hibernian (W)	2	2	0	0	10	1	6
4	Celtic (W)	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
5	Glasgow City (W)	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
6	Partick Thistle (W)	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
7	Spartans (W)	2	0	1	1	1	8	1
8	Montrose LFC (W)	2	0	0	2	1	7	0
9	Aberdeen (W)	2	0	0	2	0	9	0
10	Motherwell (W)	2	0	0	2	0	12	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aberdeen (W)	Partick Thistle (W)
Glasgow City (W)	0-3 L	0-2 L
Hearts (W)	0-6 L	0-3 L
Hibernian (W)	0-3 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Partick Thistle (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aberdeen (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	0-3	0	1	L
16/08	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-3	0-6	0	1	L
17/05	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	2-2	2	2	D
10/05	Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	4-0	9	0	W
26/04	Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
05/04	Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
22/03	Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	3-2	5	5	W
15/03	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-2	3-4	5	2	L
22/02	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-3	1	3	L
08/02	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-3	0-6	3	0	L

Partick Thistle (W)

LLDLLLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-2	1-3	5	2	L
16/08	Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
24/05	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
17/05	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-3	1-3	2	1	L
10/05	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
28/04	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
24/04	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
05/04	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
01/04	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
22/03	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	2-3	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aberdeen (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Partick Thistle (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Aberdeen (W) 31%, draw 26%, Partick Thistle (W) 43%.

How many goals are expected in Aberdeen (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Aberdeen (W) 1.32 · Partick Thistle (W) 1.6), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Aberdeen (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.