Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 30/08, 14:00

Prediction: Celtic (W) vs Hibernian (W)

Team pages: Celtic (W) · Hibernian (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Celtic (W)1.49

Hibernian (W)1.28

1X2

41% 27% 32%

Celtic (W) Draw Hibernian (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Celtic (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLLDWW

Hibernian (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Celtic (W) 2–2–2 Hibernian (W) (6 last)

Hibernian (W)1-0Celtic (W)
Celtic (W)1-1Hibernian (W)
Hibernian (W)2-3Celtic (W)
Hibernian (W)1-2Celtic (W)
Celtic (W)1-1Hibernian (W)
Hibernian (W)4-2Celtic (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Celtic (W) 1519 · Hibernian (W) 1584

	Celtic (W)	Draw	Hibernian (W)
Our model	41%	28%	31%
Market	42%	26%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hibernian (W) (rating 1519 vs 1584).
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Celtic (W)	Hibernian (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.9	2.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	1.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.8	2.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.2	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.40

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.43
2	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 2.95 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +5’	2.15	3.40	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:02 +10’	2.05	3.45	3.06
00:24 +4’	2.11▲	3.43▼	2.95▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Celtic (W) 2–2–2 Hibernian (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Hibernian (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Celtic (W)
15/03/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Celtic (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Hibernian (W)
11/01/26 Scotland Women FA Cup	Hibernian (W)	2-3 HT 0-2	Celtic (W)
21/12/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Hibernian (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Celtic (W)
21/09/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Celtic (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Hibernian (W)
14/05/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Hibernian (W)	4-2 HT 3-1	Celtic (W)

Standings · Scotland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hearts (W)	2	2	0	0	11	0	6
2	Rangers (W)	2	2	0	0	11	1	6
3	Hibernian (W)	2	2	0	0	10	1	6
4	Celtic (W)	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
5	Glasgow City (W)	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
6	Partick Thistle (W)	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
7	Spartans (W)	2	0	1	1	1	8	1
8	Montrose LFC (W)	2	0	0	2	1	7	0
9	Aberdeen (W)	2	0	0	2	0	9	0
10	Motherwell (W)	2	0	0	2	0	12	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Celtic (W)	Hibernian (W)
Glasgow City (W)	2-1 W	3-2 W
Partick Thistle (W)	1-1 D	3-1 W
Rangers (W)	0-4 L	0-1 L
Hearts (W)	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hibernian (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Celtic (W)

WLLLDLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	3-0	15	0	W
16/08	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-1	2-1	8	2	W
24/05	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
17/05	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-4	2	5	L
10/05	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-2	1-2	2	3	L
29/04	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	1	3	D
24/04	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
06/04	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	5	2	L
01/04	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	1-4	2	4	L
22/03	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	3-2	14	2	W

Hibernian (W)

WWDWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-1	3-1	7	2	W
16/08	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	7-0	4	1	W
24/05	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	2-0	5	1	W
17/05	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	3-0	3-1	7	1	W
10/05	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	3-2	4	2	W
29/04	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
24/04	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
05/04	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
01/04	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
22/03	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	2-1	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Celtic (W) vs Hibernian (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Celtic (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Celtic (W) 41%, draw 27%, Hibernian (W) 32%.

How many goals are expected in Celtic (W) vs Hibernian (W)?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Celtic (W) 1.49 · Hibernian (W) 1.28), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Celtic (W) vs Hibernian (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.