Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 30/08, 17:10

Prediction: Hearts (W) vs Rangers (W)

Team pages: Hearts (W) · Rangers (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Hearts (W)1.78

Rangers (W)1.48

1X2

44% 26% 31%

Hearts (W) Draw Rangers (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Hearts (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWDLWW

Rangers (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWLWW

Head-to-head

Hearts (W) 3–1–2 Rangers (W) (6 last)

Rangers (W)1-2Hearts (W)
Hearts (W)3-2Rangers (W)
Hearts (W)3-2Rangers (W)
Rangers (W)2-2Hearts (W)
Hearts (W)3-5Rangers (W)
Rangers (W)4-0Hearts (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hearts (W) 1595 · Rangers (W) 1550

	Hearts (W)	Draw	Rangers (W)
Our model	44%	25%	31%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hearts (W) (rating 1595 vs 1550).
H2H favours Hearts (W): 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hearts (W)	Rangers (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.7	2.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.3	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	56/22/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.1	2.6 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.40

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.43 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.7% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:49 +8’	2.05	3.40	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:05 +5’	2.43	3.19	2.64

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hearts (W) 3–1–2 Rangers (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Rangers (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Hearts (W)
15/03/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Hearts (W)	3-2 HT 1-1	Rangers (W)
02/11/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Hearts (W)	3-2 HT 3-1	Rangers (W)
24/08/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Rangers (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	Hearts (W)
14/05/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Hearts (W)	3-5 HT 1-5	Rangers (W)
30/03/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Rangers (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	Hearts (W)

Standings · Scotland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hearts (W)	2	2	0	0	11	0	6
2	Rangers (W)	2	2	0	0	11	1	6
3	Hibernian (W)	2	2	0	0	10	1	6
4	Celtic (W)	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
5	Glasgow City (W)	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
6	Partick Thistle (W)	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
7	Spartans (W)	2	0	1	1	1	8	1
8	Montrose LFC (W)	2	0	0	2	1	7	0
9	Aberdeen (W)	2	0	0	2	0	9	0
10	Motherwell (W)	2	0	0	2	0	12	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hearts (W)	Rangers (W)
Hibernian (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
Glasgow City (W)	0-0 D	0-6 L
Celtic (W)	2-1 W	4-0 W
Partick Thistle (W)	3-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Rangers (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hearts (W)

LWWWWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	3-0	5-0	7	1	W
16/08	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	3-0	6-0	12	1	W
24/05	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-2	6	1	L
17/05	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
10/05	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-1	2-1	8	3	W
28/04	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
24/04	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	2-1	0	3	W
05/04	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	1	0	W
01/04	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	4-1	4	4	W
22/03	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	1-2	6	3	L

Rangers (W)

WWWLWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women	–	7-0	–	–	W
16/08	Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	4-1	9	1	W
24/05	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-3	0-6	0	1	L
17/05	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	4-0	1	5	W
10/05	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
29/04	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
24/04	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	1-2	12	3	L
06/04	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
01/04	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	16	6	W
22/03	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	2	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hearts (W) vs Rangers (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hearts (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Hearts (W) 44%, draw 26%, Rangers (W) 31%.

How many goals are expected in Hearts (W) vs Rangers (W)?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Hearts (W) 1.78 · Rangers (W) 1.48), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hearts (W) vs Rangers (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.