Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 16/08, 14:00
Prediction: Hibernian (W) vs Motherwell (W)
Team pages: Motherwell (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.93Total
Hibernian (W)2.72
Motherwell (W)1.21
1X2
Hibernian (W)
Draw
Motherwell (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hibernian (W)
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Motherwell (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hibernian (W)
6–0
Motherwell (W)
(6 last)
- Hibernian (W)2-0Motherwell (W)
- Motherwell (W)0-5Hibernian (W)
- Hibernian (W)9-0Motherwell (W)
- Hibernian (W)2-0Motherwell (W)
- Motherwell (W)0-3Hibernian (W)
- Hibernian (W)4-0Motherwell (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hibernian (W) 1598 · Motherwell (W) 1559
| Hibernian (W) | Draw | Motherwell (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 17% | 14% |
| Market | 69% | 17% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.93 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hibernian (W): 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hibernian (W) | Motherwell (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 3.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 1.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 78/11/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.4 | 3.2 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 1.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hibernian (W) 6–0–0 Motherwell (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Hibernian (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Motherwell (W) |
| 19/10/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Motherwell (W) | 0-5 HT 0-4 | Hibernian (W) |
| 05/10/25 Scotland SWPL Cup Women | Hibernian (W) | 9-0 HT 5-0 | Motherwell (W) |
| 30/04/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Hibernian (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Motherwell (W) |
| 30/03/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Motherwell (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Hibernian (W) |
| 15/12/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Hibernian (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Motherwell (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aberdeen (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Celtic (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Glasgow City (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hearts (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hibernian (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montrose LFC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Motherwell (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Partick Thistle (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rangers (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spartans (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hibernian (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 01/04 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/03 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 15/03 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Motherwell (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Kilmarnock (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 05/08 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 02/08 | Livingston (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
5-0 | 7-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 22/03 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hibernian (W) vs Motherwell (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hibernian (W) win (69%). Probabilities: Hibernian (W) 69%, draw 17%, Motherwell (W) 14%.
How many goals are expected in Hibernian (W) vs Motherwell (W)?
The model expects 3.93 goals (Hibernian (W) 2.72 · Motherwell (W) 1.21), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Hibernian (W) vs Motherwell (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.