Football · Poland II Liga · 18/10, 17:00

Prediction: Znicz Pruszków vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala

Team pages: Znicz Pruszków · Rekord Bielsko-Biala

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Znicz Pruszków1.92
Rekord Bielsko-Biala1.16
1X2
54% 24% 22%
Znicz Pruszków Draw Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Znicz Pruszków 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WWLDWWDWWW
Rekord Bielsko-Biala 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWLLLWWWLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Znicz Pruszków 1575 · Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1506
Znicz PruszkówDrawRekord Bielsko-Biala
Our model54%24%22%
Market54%24%22%
Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Znicz Pruszków (rating 1575 vs 1506).
  • High corners: 12 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Znicz PruszkówRekord Bielsko-Biala
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 1.21.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.60.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.7 / 6.52.5 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.33.5 / 0.1

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Znicz Pruszków 11821 241226
2 GKS Tychy 71 12750 19726
3 Gornik Leczna 12624 221520
4 Olimpia Grudziadz 12543 151719
5 Hutnik Krakow 12534 191618
6 Podhale Nowy Targ 11533 222018
7 Chojniczanka Chojnice 12534 212018
8 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 11524 161217
9 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 11443 171416
10 Sandecja Nowy Sacz 11443 151216
11 Stal Stalowa Wola 12516 212416
12 Lechia Zielona Góra 11434 201815
13 Avia Swidnik 11425 141714
14 Legia Warsaw II 12417 232113
15 Slask Wroclaw II 11317 192210
16 OKS Swit Skolwin 12237 12269
17 Sokol Kleczew 11155 12258
18 Resovia Rzeszow 11047 7204

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentZnicz PruszkówRekord Bielsko-Biala
Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1-0 W 3-0 W
Stal Stalowa Wola 4-2 W 3-1 W
OKS Swit Skolwin 1-1 D 3-0 W
Olimpia Grudziadz 0-1 L 1-2 L
Legia Warsaw II 2-1 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Rekord Bielsko-Biala (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Znicz Pruszków

WWLDWWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Poland II Liga
0-0 1-0 84 W
04/10 Stal Stalowa Wola
Poland II Liga
3-1 4-2 45 W
19/09 Lechia Zielona Góra
Poland II Liga
2-0 3-1 53 W
11/09 GKS Tychy 71
Poland II Liga
1-1 1-1 36 D
06/09 Hutnik Krakow
Poland II Liga
1-2 4-2 48 W
29/08 Slask Wroclaw II
Poland II Liga
2-1 3-2 112 W
22/08 OKS Swit Skolwin
Poland II Liga
1-1 1-1 72 D
16/08 Olimpia Grudziadz
Poland II Liga
0-0 0-1 64 L
09/08 Chojniczanka Chojnice
Poland II Liga
2-0 4-1 33 W
31/07 Legia Warsaw II
Poland II Liga
0-0 2-1 143 W

Rekord Bielsko-Biala

WWLLLWWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/10 Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Poland II Liga
0-1 1-1 88 D
03/10 Podhale Nowy Targ
Poland II Liga
0-0 1-2 37 L
18/09 OKS Swit Skolwin
Poland II Liga
1-0 3-0 101 W
13/09 Avia Swidnik
Poland II Liga
1-0 1-0 53 W
06/09 Legia Warsaw II
Poland II Liga
1-0 2-1 47 W
30/08 Gornik Leczna
Poland II Liga
0-0 0-1 71 L
23/08 Olimpia Grudziadz
Poland II Liga
1-1 1-2 13 L
15/08 Sokol Kleczew
Poland II Liga
0-3 0-3 64 L
08/08 Stal Stalowa Wola
Poland II Liga
2-0 3-1 41 W
02/08 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Poland II Liga
0-0 3-0 71 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Znicz Pruszków vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Znicz Pruszków win (54%). Probabilities: Znicz Pruszków 54%, draw 24%, Rekord Bielsko-Biala 22%.

How many goals are expected in Znicz Pruszków vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Znicz Pruszków 1.92 · Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1.16), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Znicz Pruszków vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.