Football · Poland II Liga · 24/10, 20:00

Prediction: Stal Stalowa Wola vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Team pages: Stal Stalowa Wola · Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

Stal Stalowa Wola1.48

Sandecja Nowy Sacz1.79

1X2

31% 25% 44%

Stal Stalowa Wola Draw Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Stal Stalowa Wola 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLWLWW

Sandecja Nowy Sacz 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWDLDW

Head-to-head

Stal Stalowa Wola 3–1–1 Sandecja Nowy Sacz (5 last)

Stal Stalowa Wola0-0Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Sandecja Nowy Sacz2-3Stal Stalowa Wola
Stal Stalowa Wola2-0Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Stal Stalowa Wola2-1Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Sandecja Nowy Sacz2-0Stal Stalowa Wola

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stal Stalowa Wola 1499 · Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1506

	Stal Stalowa Wola	Draw	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Our model	31%	25%	44%
Market	31%	26%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Stal Stalowa Wola: 3-1-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stal Stalowa Wola	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.2	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.3	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5.1	2.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	4.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.50

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:12 +11’	2.90	3.50	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stal Stalowa Wola 3–1–1 Sandecja Nowy Sacz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Poland II Liga	Stal Stalowa Wola	0-0 HT 0-0	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
13/09/25 Poland II Liga	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	2-3 HT 1-1	Stal Stalowa Wola
28/01/25 Europe Friendlies	Stal Stalowa Wola	2-0 HT 1-0	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
28/03/24 Poland II Liga	Stal Stalowa Wola	2-1 HT 0-0	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
16/09/23 Poland II Liga	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	2-0 HT 0-0	Stal Stalowa Wola

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	12	9	2	1	25	12	29
2	GKS Tychy 71	12	7	5	0	19	7	26
3	Gornik Leczna	12	6	2	4	22	15	20
4	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	12	5	4	3	19	15	19
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	12	5	4	3	22	20	19
6	Olimpia Grudziadz	12	5	4	3	15	17	19
7	Hutnik Krakow	12	5	3	4	19	16	18
8	Chojniczanka Chojnice	12	5	3	4	21	20	18
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	12	5	2	5	16	13	17
10	Avia Swidnik	12	5	2	5	16	18	17
11	Lechia Zielona Góra	12	4	4	4	20	18	16
11	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	12	4	4	4	20	18	16
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	12	5	1	6	21	24	16
14	Legia Warsaw II	12	4	1	7	23	21	13
15	Slask Wroclaw II	12	3	1	8	20	24	10
16	Sokol Kleczew	12	1	6	5	12	25	9
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	12	2	3	7	12	26	9
18	Resovia Rzeszow	12	0	5	7	7	20	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stal Stalowa Wola	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Gornik Leczna	2-1 W	1-1 D
Slask Wroclaw II	3-2 W	4-2 W
Resovia Rzeszow	2-0 W	3-0 W
Podhale Nowy Targ	0-5 L	1-2 L
Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3-3 D	4-3 W
Avia Swidnik	4-0 W	0-3 L
Rekord Bielsko-Biala	1-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sandecja Nowy Sacz (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stal Stalowa Wola

LWLLDLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
10/10	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	1-0	3-2	5	4	W
04/10	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	1-3	2-4	2	5	L
20/09	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
12/09	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-3	0-5	6	3	L
04/09	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	1-1	3-3	6	7	D
29/08	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-2	1-2	9	3	L
21/08	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
16/08	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	1-0	4-0	3	1	W
08/08	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	6	1	L

Sandecja Nowy Sacz

LWDWLWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-1	4-3	6	3	W
09/10	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	4	8	D
03/10	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	4	6	L
20/09	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
13/09	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	2-0	4-2	5	3	W
05/09	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
28/08	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
21/08	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-1	1-1	8	7	D
15/08	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
09/08	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	11	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sandecja Nowy Sacz win (44%). Probabilities: Stal Stalowa Wola 31%, draw 25%, Sandecja Nowy Sacz 44%.

How many goals are expected in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Stal Stalowa Wola 1.48 · Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1.79), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.